Latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts indicate a high temperature near 21-22°C for Tokyo on April 6 at Haneda Airport station, fueling closely matched trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on 21°C and 28% on 22°C. Early April 2026 conditions run 2-3°C above seasonal norms of 18-20°C due to a persistent high-pressure ridge and ENSO-neutral patterns favoring mild warmth, but 50% precipitation odds and variable cloud cover create genuine uncertainty—greater insolation under partial clearing could tip toward 22°C or 23°C+, while overcast skies limit peaks to 20-21°C. Historical early April highs average 17-19°C; watch JMA's April 5 update for refined model consensus on convective activity and winds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
21°C 32%
22°C 28%
23°C or higher 17%
20°C 17%
最新
$10,137 交易量
最新
$10,137 交易量
2026-04-06
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
17%
21°C
32%
22°C
28%
23°C or higher
17%
21°C 32%
22°C 28%
23°C or higher 17%
20°C 17%
最新
$10,137 交易量
最新
$10,137 交易量
2026-04-06
13°C or below
$891 交易量
<1%
14°C
$902 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,024 交易量
<1%
16°C
$659 交易量
1%
17°C
$837 交易量
1%
18°C
$736 交易量
3%
19°C
$934 交易量
9%
20°C
$1,202 交易量
17%
21°C
$820 交易量
32%
22°C
$890 交易量
28%
23°C or higher
$1,251 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts indicate a high temperature near 21-22°C for Tokyo on April 6 at Haneda Airport station, fueling closely matched trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on 21°C and 28% on 22°C. Early April 2026 conditions run 2-3°C above seasonal norms of 18-20°C due to a persistent high-pressure ridge and ENSO-neutral patterns favoring mild warmth, but 50% precipitation odds and variable cloud cover create genuine uncertainty—greater insolation under partial clearing could tip toward 22°C or 23°C+, while overcast skies limit peaks to 20-21°C. Historical early April highs average 17-19°C; watch JMA's April 5 update for refined model consensus on convective activity and winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$10,137结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts indicate a high temperature near 21-22°C for Tokyo on April 6 at Haneda Airport station, fueling closely matched trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on 21°C and 28% on 22°C. Early April 2026 conditions run 2-3°C above seasonal norms of 18-20°C due to a persistent high-pressure ridge and ENSO-neutral patterns favoring mild warmth, but 50% precipitation odds and variable cloud cover create genuine uncertainty—greater insolation under partial clearing could tip toward 22°C or 23°C+, while overcast skies limit peaks to 20-21°C. Historical early April highs average 17-19°C; watch JMA's April 5 update for refined model consensus on convective activity and winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,137结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETLatest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts indicate a high temperature near 21-22°C for Tokyo on April 6 at Haneda Airport station, fueling closely matched trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on 21°C and 28% on 22°C. Early April 2026 conditions run 2-3°C above seasonal norms of 18-20°C due to a persistent high-pressure ridge and ENSO-neutral patterns favoring mild warmth, but 50% precipitation odds and variable cloud cover create genuine uncertainty—greater insolation under partial clearing could tip toward 22°C or 23°C+, while overcast skies limit peaks to 20-21°C. Historical early April highs average 17-19°C; watch JMA's April 5 update for refined model consensus on convective activity and winds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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