Current ensemble weather forecasts from AccuWeather and statistical models project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 8 at 24–27°C, positioning the 24°C or higher outcome at 42.5% market-implied probability amid spring warming trends in the Yangtze River basin. Recent observations show variability, with April 4 highs reaching 29°C under fine conditions per China Meteorological Administration data, but anticipated patchy clouds and light rain through April 7 likely capping mid-week peaks near 21°C before partial clearing boosts solar insolation. This aligns with historical April averages of 23°C highs, though model spread of ±2–3°C reflects uncertainty from frontal systems and humidity. Traders await daily CMA updates and global model refreshes like GFS for further refinement ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 8?
24°C or higher 56%
22°C 18%
21°C 17%
23°C 15%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
11%
20°C
15%
21°C
17%
22°C
18%
23°C
21%
24°C or higher
43%
24°C or higher 56%
22°C 18%
21°C 17%
23°C 15%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
11%
20°C
15%
21°C
17%
22°C
18%
23°C
21%
24°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current ensemble weather forecasts from AccuWeather and statistical models project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 8 at 24–27°C, positioning the 24°C or higher outcome at 42.5% market-implied probability amid spring warming trends in the Yangtze River basin. Recent observations show variability, with April 4 highs reaching 29°C under fine conditions per China Meteorological Administration data, but anticipated patchy clouds and light rain through April 7 likely capping mid-week peaks near 21°C before partial clearing boosts solar insolation. This aligns with historical April averages of 23°C highs, though model spread of ±2–3°C reflects uncertainty from frontal systems and humidity. Traders await daily CMA updates and global model refreshes like GFS for further refinement ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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