Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and global ensemble models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 4 at around 17°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds, driving the 40% market-implied probability for that outcome and 25.5% for 18°C. Recent April 3 observations hovered near 16-17°C amid stable high-pressure influence, aligning with spring climatology where April highs average 19°C but cloud cover and cool air masses suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflects this forecast convergence, though short-range models carry uncertainty from potential clearing or frontal shifts. Key JMA updates at 00:00 and 12:00 JST April 4, plus Tokyo observatory readings, will sharpen resolution before daily close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 4?
17°C 41%
18°C 27%
16°C 16%
19°C 12.8%
$19,129 交易量
$19,129 交易量
2026-04-04
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
16%
17°C
41%
18°C
27%
19°C
13%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 41%
18°C 27%
16°C 16%
19°C 12.8%
$19,129 交易量
$19,129 交易量
2026-04-04
11°C or below
$2,569 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,461 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,164 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,727 交易量
1%
15°C
$1,407 交易量
2%
16°C
$1,447 交易量
16%
17°C
$1,508 交易量
41%
18°C
$1,544 交易量
27%
19°C
$1,889 交易量
13%
20°C
$1,977 交易量
5%
21°C or higher
$2,524 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and global ensemble models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 4 at around 17°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds, driving the 40% market-implied probability for that outcome and 25.5% for 18°C. Recent April 3 observations hovered near 16-17°C amid stable high-pressure influence, aligning with spring climatology where April highs average 19°C but cloud cover and cool air masses suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflects this forecast convergence, though short-range models carry uncertainty from potential clearing or frontal shifts. Key JMA updates at 00:00 and 12:00 JST April 4, plus Tokyo observatory readings, will sharpen resolution before daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
交易量
$19,129结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and global ensemble models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 4 at around 17°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds, driving the 40% market-implied probability for that outcome and 25.5% for 18°C. Recent April 3 observations hovered near 16-17°C amid stable high-pressure influence, aligning with spring climatology where April highs average 19°C but cloud cover and cool air masses suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflects this forecast convergence, though short-range models carry uncertainty from potential clearing or frontal shifts. Key JMA updates at 00:00 and 12:00 JST April 4, plus Tokyo observatory readings, will sharpen resolution before daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,129结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and global ensemble models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 4 at around 17°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds, driving the 40% market-implied probability for that outcome and 25.5% for 18°C. Recent April 3 observations hovered near 16-17°C amid stable high-pressure influence, aligning with spring climatology where April highs average 19°C but cloud cover and cool air masses suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflects this forecast convergence, though short-range models carry uncertainty from potential clearing or frontal shifts. Key JMA updates at 00:00 and 12:00 JST April 4, plus Tokyo observatory readings, will sharpen resolution before daily close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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