Hong Kong Observatory observations on April 2 show a maximum air temperature of 24.0°C recorded at its headquarters by early afternoon, amid mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers under an easterly airstream, aligning with yesterday's forecast range of 22–25°C and supporting the market's 98.6% implied probability for 24°C as trader consensus. Current readings around 22–23°C across stations like King's Park and Chek Lap Kok, with high humidity (80–90%) and light winds suppressing further warming, reflect typical spring suppression from cloud cover despite a seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunny breaks boosting solar heating to 25°C, though model consensus and diurnal patterns make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening. Final readings expected by midnight HKT.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?
24°C 98.7%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$187,327 交易量
$187,327 交易量
2026-04-02
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
99%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 98.7%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$187,327 交易量
$187,327 交易量
2026-04-02
18°C or below
$6,524 交易量
<1%
19°C
$18,759 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,702 交易量
<1%
21°C
$5,025 交易量
<1%
22°C
$9,305 交易量
<1%
23°C
$60,823 交易量
1%
24°C
$29,993 交易量
99%
25°C
$20,635 交易量
1%
26°C
$12,095 交易量
<1%
27°C
$7,583 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$12,882 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations on April 2 show a maximum air temperature of 24.0°C recorded at its headquarters by early afternoon, amid mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers under an easterly airstream, aligning with yesterday's forecast range of 22–25°C and supporting the market's 98.6% implied probability for 24°C as trader consensus. Current readings around 22–23°C across stations like King's Park and Chek Lap Kok, with high humidity (80–90%) and light winds suppressing further warming, reflect typical spring suppression from cloud cover despite a seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunny breaks boosting solar heating to 25°C, though model consensus and diurnal patterns make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening. Final readings expected by midnight HKT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
交易量
$187,327结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations on April 2 show a maximum air temperature of 24.0°C recorded at its headquarters by early afternoon, amid mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers under an easterly airstream, aligning with yesterday's forecast range of 22–25°C and supporting the market's 98.6% implied probability for 24°C as trader consensus. Current readings around 22–23°C across stations like King's Park and Chek Lap Kok, with high humidity (80–90%) and light winds suppressing further warming, reflect typical spring suppression from cloud cover despite a seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunny breaks boosting solar heating to 25°C, though model consensus and diurnal patterns make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening. Final readings expected by midnight HKT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$187,327结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory observations on April 2 show a maximum air temperature of 24.0°C recorded at its headquarters by early afternoon, amid mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers under an easterly airstream, aligning with yesterday's forecast range of 22–25°C and supporting the market's 98.6% implied probability for 24°C as trader consensus. Current readings around 22–23°C across stations like King's Park and Chek Lap Kok, with high humidity (80–90%) and light winds suppressing further warming, reflect typical spring suppression from cloud cover despite a seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunny breaks boosting solar heating to 25°C, though model consensus and diurnal patterns make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening. Final readings expected by midnight HKT.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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