Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) models have tightly converged on a 22°C high temperature for Shanghai on April 2, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Current observations at key stations like Xujiahui align closely, with persistent cloudy skies and light easterly winds capping daytime heating under a weak frontal pattern—above early April climatological averages of ~18°C but below 23°C thresholds. Hong Kong Observatory bulletins confirm this 12–23°C range, with mid-afternoon peaks already recorded near 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing allowing minor late-day warming or station-specific measurement variances, though model ensembles show low spread and high confidence ahead of final CMA daily summary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 2?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 2?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$329,444 交易量
$329,444 交易量
2026-04-02
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$329,444 交易量
$329,444 交易量
2026-04-02
15°C or below
$13,384 交易量
No
16°C
$6,891 交易量
No
17°C
$20,412 交易量
No
18°C
$23,797 交易量
No
19°C
$22,287 交易量
No
20°C
$25,138 交易量
No
21°C
$35,998 交易量
No
22°C
$89,071 交易量
Yes
23°C
$34,712 交易量
No
24°C
$29,479 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$28,274 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) models have tightly converged on a 22°C high temperature for Shanghai on April 2, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Current observations at key stations like Xujiahui align closely, with persistent cloudy skies and light easterly winds capping daytime heating under a weak frontal pattern—above early April climatological averages of ~18°C but below 23°C thresholds. Hong Kong Observatory bulletins confirm this 12–23°C range, with mid-afternoon peaks already recorded near 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing allowing minor late-day warming or station-specific measurement variances, though model ensembles show low spread and high confidence ahead of final CMA daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$329,444结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) models have tightly converged on a 22°C high temperature for Shanghai on April 2, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Current observations at key stations like Xujiahui align closely, with persistent cloudy skies and light easterly winds capping daytime heating under a weak frontal pattern—above early April climatological averages of ~18°C but below 23°C thresholds. Hong Kong Observatory bulletins confirm this 12–23°C range, with mid-afternoon peaks already recorded near 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing allowing minor late-day warming or station-specific measurement variances, though model ensembles show low spread and high confidence ahead of final CMA daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$329,444结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) models have tightly converged on a 22°C high temperature for Shanghai on April 2, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Current observations at key stations like Xujiahui align closely, with persistent cloudy skies and light easterly winds capping daytime heating under a weak frontal pattern—above early April climatological averages of ~18°C but below 23°C thresholds. Hong Kong Observatory bulletins confirm this 12–23°C range, with mid-afternoon peaks already recorded near 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing allowing minor late-day warming or station-specific measurement variances, though model ensembles show low spread and high confidence ahead of final CMA daily summary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题