The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at its headquarters on April 3, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.9% market-implied probability for the 27°C outcome as the definitive resolution criterion. This observational data from HKO's standardized instruments—issued in the early April 4 bulletin—reflects mostly cloudy conditions with minimal sunshine (1.0 hour) and no rainfall, amid a broader pattern of above-normal early-year warmth forecasted for 2026 due to persistent high-pressure influences. While final data audits are routine, challenges to this positioning would require verified equipment anomalies or measurement revisions, scenarios deemed negligible given HKO's rigorous quality controls and historical accuracy in daily maxima reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
27°C 99.9%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$223,520 交易量
$223,520 交易量
2026-04-03
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$223,520 交易量
$223,520 交易量
2026-04-03
19°C or below
$3,372 交易量
<1%
20°C
$4,002 交易量
<1%
21°C
$4,005 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,216 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,590 交易量
<1%
24°C
$11,016 交易量
<1%
25°C
$23,757 交易量
<1%
26°C
$28,186 交易量
<1%
27°C
$106,550 交易量
100%
28°C
$17,936 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$12,892 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at its headquarters on April 3, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.9% market-implied probability for the 27°C outcome as the definitive resolution criterion. This observational data from HKO's standardized instruments—issued in the early April 4 bulletin—reflects mostly cloudy conditions with minimal sunshine (1.0 hour) and no rainfall, amid a broader pattern of above-normal early-year warmth forecasted for 2026 due to persistent high-pressure influences. While final data audits are routine, challenges to this positioning would require verified equipment anomalies or measurement revisions, scenarios deemed negligible given HKO's rigorous quality controls and historical accuracy in daily maxima reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
交易量
$223,520结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at its headquarters on April 3, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.9% market-implied probability for the 27°C outcome as the definitive resolution criterion. This observational data from HKO's standardized instruments—issued in the early April 4 bulletin—reflects mostly cloudy conditions with minimal sunshine (1.0 hour) and no rainfall, amid a broader pattern of above-normal early-year warmth forecasted for 2026 due to persistent high-pressure influences. While final data audits are routine, challenges to this positioning would require verified equipment anomalies or measurement revisions, scenarios deemed negligible given HKO's rigorous quality controls and historical accuracy in daily maxima reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$223,520结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 27.1°C at its headquarters on April 3, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 99.9% market-implied probability for the 27°C outcome as the definitive resolution criterion. This observational data from HKO's standardized instruments—issued in the early April 4 bulletin—reflects mostly cloudy conditions with minimal sunshine (1.0 hour) and no rainfall, amid a broader pattern of above-normal early-year warmth forecasted for 2026 due to persistent high-pressure influences. While final data audits are routine, challenges to this positioning would require verified equipment anomalies or measurement revisions, scenarios deemed negligible given HKO's rigorous quality controls and historical accuracy in daily maxima reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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