Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 15°C (41.5%) and 16°C (36.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 4, driven by the Met Office's latest short-range forecasts indicating maximums in the mid-teens Celsius amid variable cloud cover and potential brighter spells during the Easter weekend. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours have trended warmer than earlier March 30 outlooks (13°C under persistent cloud), highlighting reduced shower probabilities (20-50%) and gusty winds moderating to light southerlies, enhancing insolation potential to differentiate 15°C from 16°C or 17°C+. Key uncertainty lies in the extent of afternoon cloud breaks, with historical early April baselines around 13°C but analogs showing 2-4°C boosts from high-pressure ridging; watch this morning's Met Office update and Heathrow observations for final guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on April 4?
Highest temperature in London on April 4?
15°C 43%
16°C 38%
17°C or higher 18%
14°C 8%
$46,997 交易量
$46,997 交易量
2026-04-04
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
43%
16°C
38%
17°C or higher
18%
15°C 43%
16°C 38%
17°C or higher 18%
14°C 8%
$46,997 交易量
$46,997 交易量
2026-04-04
7°C or below
$7,085 交易量
<1%
8°C
$3,983 交易量
<1%
9°C
$3,649 交易量
<1%
10°C
$3,175 交易量
<1%
11°C
$5,489 交易量
<1%
12°C
$3,424 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,926 交易量
1%
14°C
$4,346 交易量
8%
15°C
$4,064 交易量
43%
16°C
$3,602 交易量
38%
17°C or higher
$4,265 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 15°C (41.5%) and 16°C (36.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 4, driven by the Met Office's latest short-range forecasts indicating maximums in the mid-teens Celsius amid variable cloud cover and potential brighter spells during the Easter weekend. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours have trended warmer than earlier March 30 outlooks (13°C under persistent cloud), highlighting reduced shower probabilities (20-50%) and gusty winds moderating to light southerlies, enhancing insolation potential to differentiate 15°C from 16°C or 17°C+. Key uncertainty lies in the extent of afternoon cloud breaks, with historical early April baselines around 13°C but analogs showing 2-4°C boosts from high-pressure ridging; watch this morning's Met Office update and Heathrow observations for final guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$46,997结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 15°C (41.5%) and 16°C (36.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 4, driven by the Met Office's latest short-range forecasts indicating maximums in the mid-teens Celsius amid variable cloud cover and potential brighter spells during the Easter weekend. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours have trended warmer than earlier March 30 outlooks (13°C under persistent cloud), highlighting reduced shower probabilities (20-50%) and gusty winds moderating to light southerlies, enhancing insolation potential to differentiate 15°C from 16°C or 17°C+. Key uncertainty lies in the extent of afternoon cloud breaks, with historical early April baselines around 13°C but analogs showing 2-4°C boosts from high-pressure ridging; watch this morning's Met Office update and Heathrow observations for final guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$46,997结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 15°C (41.5%) and 16°C (36.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 4, driven by the Met Office's latest short-range forecasts indicating maximums in the mid-teens Celsius amid variable cloud cover and potential brighter spells during the Easter weekend. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours have trended warmer than earlier March 30 outlooks (13°C under persistent cloud), highlighting reduced shower probabilities (20-50%) and gusty winds moderating to light southerlies, enhancing insolation potential to differentiate 15°C from 16°C or 17°C+. Key uncertainty lies in the extent of afternoon cloud breaks, with historical early April baselines around 13°C but analogs showing 2-4°C boosts from high-pressure ridging; watch this morning's Met Office update and Heathrow observations for final guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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