Latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converge on a maximum temperature near 13°C in London on April 5, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 12°C and 14°C close behind. This positioning stems from Storm Dave's arrival late Saturday, ushering cooler westerly airflow and overnight rain clearance to sunny intervals Sunday amid moderate 13-22 mph breezes that cap daytime warming despite reduced cloud cover. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight 11-14°C spread, reflecting typical early April climatology (historical Heathrow maxima averaging 12-14°C) and post-frontal stabilization. Updated 12Z runs today may shift odds further before official observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on April 5?
Highest temperature in London on April 5?
13°C 41%
12°C 21%
14°C 19%
11°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
21%
13°C
41%
14°C
19%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 41%
12°C 21%
14°C 19%
11°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
8°C or below
$567 交易量
<1%
9°C
$574 交易量
<1%
10°C
$485 交易量
2%
11°C
$804 交易量
9%
12°C
$1,102 交易量
21%
13°C
$1,201 交易量
41%
14°C
$789 交易量
19%
15°C
$610 交易量
9%
16°C
$537 交易量
3%
17°C
$1,109 交易量
1%
18°C or higher
$2,136 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converge on a maximum temperature near 13°C in London on April 5, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 12°C and 14°C close behind. This positioning stems from Storm Dave's arrival late Saturday, ushering cooler westerly airflow and overnight rain clearance to sunny intervals Sunday amid moderate 13-22 mph breezes that cap daytime warming despite reduced cloud cover. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight 11-14°C spread, reflecting typical early April climatology (historical Heathrow maxima averaging 12-14°C) and post-frontal stabilization. Updated 12Z runs today may shift odds further before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$9,864结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converge on a maximum temperature near 13°C in London on April 5, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 12°C and 14°C close behind. This positioning stems from Storm Dave's arrival late Saturday, ushering cooler westerly airflow and overnight rain clearance to sunny intervals Sunday amid moderate 13-22 mph breezes that cap daytime warming despite reduced cloud cover. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight 11-14°C spread, reflecting typical early April climatology (historical Heathrow maxima averaging 12-14°C) and post-frontal stabilization. Updated 12Z runs today may shift odds further before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,864结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETLatest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts converge on a maximum temperature near 13°C in London on April 5, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for that outcome, with 12°C and 14°C close behind. This positioning stems from Storm Dave's arrival late Saturday, ushering cooler westerly airflow and overnight rain clearance to sunny intervals Sunday amid moderate 13-22 mph breezes that cap daytime warming despite reduced cloud cover. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight 11-14°C spread, reflecting typical early April climatology (historical Heathrow maxima averaging 12-14°C) and post-frontal stabilization. Updated 12Z runs today may shift odds further before official observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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