Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, updated yesterday, projects Busan highs of 17–22°C today under partly cloudy skies transitioning to cloudier conditions this afternoon, with minimal early rain risk, driving trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the peak temperature. Yesterday's observations peaked at 20.3°C at nearby Gimhae Airport amid clear skies and a lingering high-pressure ridge, consistent with early April climatology where average highs near 18°C but mild southerly flows and low humidity enable slight above-normal warming during midday peak heating (12–15 KST). Increasing cloud cover is expected to cap potential for 21–22°C (10% each), while official station measurements resolve the market; monitor KMA hourly updates for any shifts from wind or insolation variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月3日釜山气温最高?
4月3日釜山气温最高?
20°C 97.0%
21°C 18%
22°C 15%
23°C 2.6%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
97%
21°C
18%
22°C
15%
23°C
3%
24°C或更高
1%
20°C 97.0%
21°C 18%
22°C 15%
23°C 2.6%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
97%
21°C
18%
22°C
15%
23°C
3%
24°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, updated yesterday, projects Busan highs of 17–22°C today under partly cloudy skies transitioning to cloudier conditions this afternoon, with minimal early rain risk, driving trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the peak temperature. Yesterday's observations peaked at 20.3°C at nearby Gimhae Airport amid clear skies and a lingering high-pressure ridge, consistent with early April climatology where average highs near 18°C but mild southerly flows and low humidity enable slight above-normal warming during midday peak heating (12–15 KST). Increasing cloud cover is expected to cap potential for 21–22°C (10% each), while official station measurements resolve the market; monitor KMA hourly updates for any shifts from wind or insolation variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题