MetService's latest forecast, updated April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on April 3 under a high-pressure ridge delivering settled fine to partly cloudy conditions with strengthening northerlies. This trader consensus at 99.1% implied probability aligns with model agreement from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, reflecting typical autumn patterns in Wellington where April highs average 17–18°C amid moderating La Niña influences. Northerly winds may introduce slight variability, but cloud cover and coastal cooling limit upside potential. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or warmer air advection pushing toward 20°C, though official observations through afternoon will confirm as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
19°C 99.3%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$114,149 交易量
$114,149 交易量
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.3%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$114,149 交易量
$114,149 交易量
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecast, updated April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on April 3 under a high-pressure ridge delivering settled fine to partly cloudy conditions with strengthening northerlies. This trader consensus at 99.1% implied probability aligns with model agreement from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, reflecting typical autumn patterns in Wellington where April highs average 17–18°C amid moderating La Niña influences. Northerly winds may introduce slight variability, but cloud cover and coastal cooling limit upside potential. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or warmer air advection pushing toward 20°C, though official observations through afternoon will confirm as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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