Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 19°C (30.5%) and 18°C (30.0%) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting MetService's latest forecasts projecting a daytime peak near 19°C amid a high-pressure ridge and northerly winds delivering warmer air masses above the April historical average of 16°C. Recent developments, including fine and sunny conditions through April 2-3 with highs of 19°C, have reinforced this positioning, though model divergence on afternoon shower chances—potentially turning southeasterly—introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks at 18°C or dip to 17°C (16.0%). NIWA's April-June outlook favors near-average temperatures (45% probability), underscoring inherent forecast variability; watch for MetService's daily update on April 4 for refined guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
17°C 17%
20°C 14%
最新
$10,893 交易量
最新
$10,893 交易量
2026-04-05
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
5%
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
17°C 17%
20°C 14%
最新
$10,893 交易量
最新
$10,893 交易量
2026-04-05
11°C或以下
$2,697 交易量
<1%
12°C
$945 交易量
<1%
13°C
$922 交易量
1%
14°C
$1,154 交易量
<1%
15°C
$741 交易量
3%
16°C
$1,028 交易量
6%
17°C
$547 交易量
17%
18°C
$716 交易量
31%
19°C
$602 交易量
31%
20°C
$644 交易量
14%
21°C or higher
$897 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 19°C (30.5%) and 18°C (30.0%) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting MetService's latest forecasts projecting a daytime peak near 19°C amid a high-pressure ridge and northerly winds delivering warmer air masses above the April historical average of 16°C. Recent developments, including fine and sunny conditions through April 2-3 with highs of 19°C, have reinforced this positioning, though model divergence on afternoon shower chances—potentially turning southeasterly—introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks at 18°C or dip to 17°C (16.0%). NIWA's April-June outlook favors near-average temperatures (45% probability), underscoring inherent forecast variability; watch for MetService's daily update on April 4 for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$10,893结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 19°C (30.5%) and 18°C (30.0%) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting MetService's latest forecasts projecting a daytime peak near 19°C amid a high-pressure ridge and northerly winds delivering warmer air masses above the April historical average of 16°C. Recent developments, including fine and sunny conditions through April 2-3 with highs of 19°C, have reinforced this positioning, though model divergence on afternoon shower chances—potentially turning southeasterly—introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks at 18°C or dip to 17°C (16.0%). NIWA's April-June outlook favors near-average temperatures (45% probability), underscoring inherent forecast variability; watch for MetService's daily update on April 4 for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,893结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 19°C (30.5%) and 18°C (30.0%) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting MetService's latest forecasts projecting a daytime peak near 19°C amid a high-pressure ridge and northerly winds delivering warmer air masses above the April historical average of 16°C. Recent developments, including fine and sunny conditions through April 2-3 with highs of 19°C, have reinforced this positioning, though model divergence on afternoon shower chances—potentially turning southeasterly—introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks at 18°C or dip to 17°C (16.0%). NIWA's April-June outlook favors near-average temperatures (45% probability), underscoring inherent forecast variability; watch for MetService's daily update on April 4 for refined guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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