Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen on April 3, driven by thundershowers, high humidity around 80%, and southerly winds of 4-5 levels capping peak heating in the boundary layer—this consensus underpins the 88.5% trader-implied probability. Recent 12Z model runs shifted sentiment from 27°C after showing reduced convective inhibition and partial clearing, while persistent moisture from prior showers suppresses 30°C+ outcomes to 1.5%. Early April climatology averages 26°C highs, with official station observations (e.g., Bao'an) determining resolution; intraday cloud variability introduces minor uncertainty, with new hourly data expected throughout the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
28°C 89%
29°C 10%
30°C or higher <1%
25°C <1%
$107,756 交易量
$107,756 交易量
2026-04-03
25°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
89%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
1%
28°C 89%
29°C 10%
30°C or higher <1%
25°C <1%
$107,756 交易量
$107,756 交易量
2026-04-03
25°C
$6,733 交易量
<1%
27°C
$33,491 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,888 交易量
89%
29°C
$5,540 交易量
10%
30°C or higher
$16,761 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen on April 3, driven by thundershowers, high humidity around 80%, and southerly winds of 4-5 levels capping peak heating in the boundary layer—this consensus underpins the 88.5% trader-implied probability. Recent 12Z model runs shifted sentiment from 27°C after showing reduced convective inhibition and partial clearing, while persistent moisture from prior showers suppresses 30°C+ outcomes to 1.5%. Early April climatology averages 26°C highs, with official station observations (e.g., Bao'an) determining resolution; intraday cloud variability introduces minor uncertainty, with new hourly data expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$107,756结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen on April 3, driven by thundershowers, high humidity around 80%, and southerly winds of 4-5 levels capping peak heating in the boundary layer—this consensus underpins the 88.5% trader-implied probability. Recent 12Z model runs shifted sentiment from 27°C after showing reduced convective inhibition and partial clearing, while persistent moisture from prior showers suppresses 30°C+ outcomes to 1.5%. Early April climatology averages 26°C highs, with official station observations (e.g., Bao'an) determining resolution; intraday cloud variability introduces minor uncertainty, with new hourly data expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$107,756结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen on April 3, driven by thundershowers, high humidity around 80%, and southerly winds of 4-5 levels capping peak heating in the boundary layer—this consensus underpins the 88.5% trader-implied probability. Recent 12Z model runs shifted sentiment from 27°C after showing reduced convective inhibition and partial clearing, while persistent moisture from prior showers suppresses 30°C+ outcomes to 1.5%. Early April climatology averages 26°C highs, with official station observations (e.g., Bao'an) determining resolution; intraday cloud variability introduces minor uncertainty, with new hourly data expected throughout the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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