Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport highs around 26-28°C on April 5 amid typical early-April variability. Over the past 48 hours, ensemble runs have shown minimal shifts, with a mean near 27°C, driven by persistent high humidity (80-90%) and patchy clouds potentially capping peaks at 26°C, while brief sunny breaks or lighter winds could push to 28°C. Historical April 5 analogs average 26°C, with a 2°C standard deviation from sea breeze moderation and urban heat effects. New model updates expected by April 4 morning could refine the closely matched outcomes, highlighting inherent forecast uncertainty in fine-scale convective patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
27°C 26%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
12%
26°C
21%
27°C
26%
28°C
23%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
7%
27°C 26%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
20°C or below
$1,023 交易量
<1%
21°C
$931 交易量
1%
22°C
$699 交易量
1%
23°C
$562 交易量
2%
24°C
$446 交易量
5%
25°C
$346 交易量
12%
26°C
$456 交易量
21%
27°C
$416 交易量
26%
28°C
$386 交易量
23%
29°C
$348 交易量
14%
30°C or higher
$504 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport highs around 26-28°C on April 5 amid typical early-April variability. Over the past 48 hours, ensemble runs have shown minimal shifts, with a mean near 27°C, driven by persistent high humidity (80-90%) and patchy clouds potentially capping peaks at 26°C, while brief sunny breaks or lighter winds could push to 28°C. Historical April 5 analogs average 26°C, with a 2°C standard deviation from sea breeze moderation and urban heat effects. New model updates expected by April 4 morning could refine the closely matched outcomes, highlighting inherent forecast uncertainty in fine-scale convective patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
交易量
$6,116结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport highs around 26-28°C on April 5 amid typical early-April variability. Over the past 48 hours, ensemble runs have shown minimal shifts, with a mean near 27°C, driven by persistent high humidity (80-90%) and patchy clouds potentially capping peaks at 26°C, while brief sunny breaks or lighter winds could push to 28°C. Historical April 5 analogs average 26°C, with a 2°C standard deviation from sea breeze moderation and urban heat effects. New model updates expected by April 4 morning could refine the closely matched outcomes, highlighting inherent forecast uncertainty in fine-scale convective patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,116结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport highs around 26-28°C on April 5 amid typical early-April variability. Over the past 48 hours, ensemble runs have shown minimal shifts, with a mean near 27°C, driven by persistent high humidity (80-90%) and patchy clouds potentially capping peaks at 26°C, while brief sunny breaks or lighter winds could push to 28°C. Historical April 5 analogs average 26°C, with a 2°C standard deviation from sea breeze moderation and urban heat effects. New model updates expected by April 4 morning could refine the closely matched outcomes, highlighting inherent forecast uncertainty in fine-scale convective patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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