Forecast ensembles from Roshydromet, ECMWF, and GFS show a cooling trend for Moscow on April 6, projecting maximum temperatures in the 6–9°C range at Vnukovo Airport due to northerly winds advecting cooler continental air and persistent overcast skies limiting diurnal heating, following recent mild highs near 15–16°C on April 2–4. This model consensus drives the tight trader clustering around 7°C (28.5% implied probability), 8°C (19%), and 9°C (17.5%), with divergence stemming from uncertainties in cloud cover persistence, light precipitation potential, and boundary layer mixing that could nudge peaks 1–2°C higher or lower. Early-April climatology averages ~7°C highs, underscoring baseline expectations amid typical spring variability; updated 12Z runs on April 5 will refine guidance as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
7°C 29%
8°C 19%
9°C 18%
6°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
5°C or below
4%
6°C
14%
7°C
29%
8°C
19%
9°C
18%
10°C
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
6%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
7°C 29%
8°C 19%
9°C 18%
6°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
5°C or below
$617 交易量
4%
6°C
$316 交易量
14%
7°C
$317 交易量
29%
8°C
$401 交易量
19%
9°C
$441 交易量
18%
10°C
$301 交易量
5%
11°C
$272 交易量
5%
12°C
$626 交易量
5%
13°C
$488 交易量
6%
14°C
$1,345 交易量
1%
15°C or higher
$795 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from Roshydromet, ECMWF, and GFS show a cooling trend for Moscow on April 6, projecting maximum temperatures in the 6–9°C range at Vnukovo Airport due to northerly winds advecting cooler continental air and persistent overcast skies limiting diurnal heating, following recent mild highs near 15–16°C on April 2–4. This model consensus drives the tight trader clustering around 7°C (28.5% implied probability), 8°C (19%), and 9°C (17.5%), with divergence stemming from uncertainties in cloud cover persistence, light precipitation potential, and boundary layer mixing that could nudge peaks 1–2°C higher or lower. Early-April climatology averages ~7°C highs, underscoring baseline expectations amid typical spring variability; updated 12Z runs on April 5 will refine guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
交易量
$5,919结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from Roshydromet, ECMWF, and GFS show a cooling trend for Moscow on April 6, projecting maximum temperatures in the 6–9°C range at Vnukovo Airport due to northerly winds advecting cooler continental air and persistent overcast skies limiting diurnal heating, following recent mild highs near 15–16°C on April 2–4. This model consensus drives the tight trader clustering around 7°C (28.5% implied probability), 8°C (19%), and 9°C (17.5%), with divergence stemming from uncertainties in cloud cover persistence, light precipitation potential, and boundary layer mixing that could nudge peaks 1–2°C higher or lower. Early-April climatology averages ~7°C highs, underscoring baseline expectations amid typical spring variability; updated 12Z runs on April 5 will refine guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,919结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast ensembles from Roshydromet, ECMWF, and GFS show a cooling trend for Moscow on April 6, projecting maximum temperatures in the 6–9°C range at Vnukovo Airport due to northerly winds advecting cooler continental air and persistent overcast skies limiting diurnal heating, following recent mild highs near 15–16°C on April 2–4. This model consensus drives the tight trader clustering around 7°C (28.5% implied probability), 8°C (19%), and 9°C (17.5%), with divergence stemming from uncertainties in cloud cover persistence, light precipitation potential, and boundary layer mixing that could nudge peaks 1–2°C higher or lower. Early-April climatology averages ~7°C highs, underscoring baseline expectations amid typical spring variability; updated 12Z runs on April 5 will refine guidance as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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