Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate highs of 14–16°C in Moscow on April 4, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means projecting 13–15°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge driving abnormal warmth across central Russia through April 2–4. This positions the 55.5% market-implied probability on 14°C or higher, with 23.0% on exactly 13°C reflecting uncertainty from variable cloudiness and potential light rain that could temper peaks. Early-April climatological averages hover at 9–11°C per Roshydromet records, underscoring the positive anomaly fueled by southerly flows and zonal steering patterns. Overnight model runs and Vnukovo Airport observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 4?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 4?
14°C or higher 55%
13°C 21%
12°C 16%
11°C 7.2%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
16%
13°C
21%
14°C or higher
55%
14°C or higher 55%
13°C 21%
12°C 16%
11°C 7.2%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
4°C or below
$1,201 交易量
<1%
5°C
$1,039 交易量
<1%
6°C
$588 交易量
<1%
7°C
$411 交易量
<1%
8°C
$938 交易量
<1%
9°C
$584 交易量
1%
10°C
$779 交易量
4%
11°C
$505 交易量
7%
12°C
$415 交易量
16%
13°C
$416 交易量
21%
14°C or higher
$613 交易量
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate highs of 14–16°C in Moscow on April 4, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means projecting 13–15°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge driving abnormal warmth across central Russia through April 2–4. This positions the 55.5% market-implied probability on 14°C or higher, with 23.0% on exactly 13°C reflecting uncertainty from variable cloudiness and potential light rain that could temper peaks. Early-April climatological averages hover at 9–11°C per Roshydromet records, underscoring the positive anomaly fueled by southerly flows and zonal steering patterns. Overnight model runs and Vnukovo Airport observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
交易量
$7,475结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate highs of 14–16°C in Moscow on April 4, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means projecting 13–15°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge driving abnormal warmth across central Russia through April 2–4. This positions the 55.5% market-implied probability on 14°C or higher, with 23.0% on exactly 13°C reflecting uncertainty from variable cloudiness and potential light rain that could temper peaks. Early-April climatological averages hover at 9–11°C per Roshydromet records, underscoring the positive anomaly fueled by southerly flows and zonal steering patterns. Overnight model runs and Vnukovo Airport observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,475结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate highs of 14–16°C in Moscow on April 4, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means projecting 13–15°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge driving abnormal warmth across central Russia through April 2–4. This positions the 55.5% market-implied probability on 14°C or higher, with 23.0% on exactly 13°C reflecting uncertainty from variable cloudiness and potential light rain that could temper peaks. Early-April climatological averages hover at 9–11°C per Roshydromet records, underscoring the positive anomaly fueled by southerly flows and zonal steering patterns. Overnight model runs and Vnukovo Airport observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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