Latest forecast guidance from Russian meteorological services, including recent updates from the Phobos Center, positions trader consensus around a maximum temperature of 7°C or below at 42% implied probability for Moscow on April 5, driven by an incoming cold air mass from the north following abnormally warm conditions earlier this week with highs near 18°C on April 2-3. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation expected Saturday will further suppress daytime heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks of 5-7°C amid northerly winds. This reflects early April climatology, where historical highs average 6-9°C, though short-range uncertainty remains ahead of Sunday's final advisories and observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日莫斯科最高气温?
4月5日莫斯科最高气温?
7°C或以下 50%
9°C 15%
11°C 14%
8°C 13%
7°C或以下
42%
8°C
19%
9°C
15%
10°C
11%
11°C
14%
12°C
10%
13°C
5%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
7°C或以下 50%
9°C 15%
11°C 14%
8°C 13%
7°C或以下
42%
8°C
19%
9°C
15%
10°C
11%
11°C
14%
12°C
10%
13°C
5%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from Russian meteorological services, including recent updates from the Phobos Center, positions trader consensus around a maximum temperature of 7°C or below at 42% implied probability for Moscow on April 5, driven by an incoming cold air mass from the north following abnormally warm conditions earlier this week with highs near 18°C on April 2-3. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation expected Saturday will further suppress daytime heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks of 5-7°C amid northerly winds. This reflects early April climatology, where historical highs average 6-9°C, though short-range uncertainty remains ahead of Sunday's final advisories and observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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