Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher (98.4% market-implied probability) for Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport today, backed by unified forecasts from Russian meteorological services like the Phobos Weather Center projecting daytime highs of 13-18°C under clear skies and mild northwesterly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-normal warmth—well beyond early April climatological averages of 8-10°C—validated by recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs clustering peaks around 14-15°C in the afternoon. Ensemble spread remains tight, reflecting low uncertainty in the stable synoptic setup. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection, sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, or airport microclimate effects, though current observations show mainly sunny conditions building toward the forecasted maximum. Hourly updates from official stations will confirm as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?
11°C or higher 98.4%
10°C 1.4%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$23,086 交易量
$23,086 交易量
2026-04-03
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C or higher
98%
11°C or higher 98.4%
10°C 1.4%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$23,086 交易量
$23,086 交易量
2026-04-03
8°C
$1,956 交易量
<1%
9°C
$1,603 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,774 交易量
1%
11°C or higher
$1,736 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher (98.4% market-implied probability) for Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport today, backed by unified forecasts from Russian meteorological services like the Phobos Weather Center projecting daytime highs of 13-18°C under clear skies and mild northwesterly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-normal warmth—well beyond early April climatological averages of 8-10°C—validated by recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs clustering peaks around 14-15°C in the afternoon. Ensemble spread remains tight, reflecting low uncertainty in the stable synoptic setup. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection, sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, or airport microclimate effects, though current observations show mainly sunny conditions building toward the forecasted maximum. Hourly updates from official stations will confirm as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
交易量
$23,086结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher (98.4% market-implied probability) for Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport today, backed by unified forecasts from Russian meteorological services like the Phobos Weather Center projecting daytime highs of 13-18°C under clear skies and mild northwesterly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-normal warmth—well beyond early April climatological averages of 8-10°C—validated by recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs clustering peaks around 14-15°C in the afternoon. Ensemble spread remains tight, reflecting low uncertainty in the stable synoptic setup. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection, sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, or airport microclimate effects, though current observations show mainly sunny conditions building toward the forecasted maximum. Hourly updates from official stations will confirm as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,086结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher (98.4% market-implied probability) for Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport today, backed by unified forecasts from Russian meteorological services like the Phobos Weather Center projecting daytime highs of 13-18°C under clear skies and mild northwesterly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-normal warmth—well beyond early April climatological averages of 8-10°C—validated by recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs clustering peaks around 14-15°C in the afternoon. Ensemble spread remains tight, reflecting low uncertainty in the stable synoptic setup. Realistic challenges include unexpected cold air advection, sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, or airport microclimate effects, though current observations show mainly sunny conditions building toward the forecasted maximum. Hourly updates from official stations will confirm as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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