Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 4 at around 19–20°C under sunny skies with gentle southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 19°C (36.5% implied probability) and 20°C (25.5%). This positioning stems from late-March stabilization of daytime highs at 20–22°C amid partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early April climatological norms where average highs hover near 20°C on the rising spring trend. Light winds and ample sunshine support these levels, though minor model discrepancies introduce uncertainty around 18–21°C; updated CMA observations and hourly data releases on April 3–4 could refine probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 4?
19°C 35%
20°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 13%
$17,685 交易量
$17,685 交易量
2026-04-04
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
19%
19°C
35%
20°C
26%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 35%
20°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 13%
$17,685 交易量
$17,685 交易量
2026-04-04
13°C or below
$3,094 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,640 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,631 交易量
<1%
16°C
$2,744 交易量
1%
17°C
$1,083 交易量
8%
18°C
$823 交易量
19%
19°C
$683 交易量
35%
20°C
$670 交易量
26%
21°C
$1,187 交易量
13%
22°C
$1,234 交易量
5%
23°C or higher
$1,927 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 4 at around 19–20°C under sunny skies with gentle southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 19°C (36.5% implied probability) and 20°C (25.5%). This positioning stems from late-March stabilization of daytime highs at 20–22°C amid partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early April climatological norms where average highs hover near 20°C on the rising spring trend. Light winds and ample sunshine support these levels, though minor model discrepancies introduce uncertainty around 18–21°C; updated CMA observations and hourly data releases on April 3–4 could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$17,685结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 4 at around 19–20°C under sunny skies with gentle southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 19°C (36.5% implied probability) and 20°C (25.5%). This positioning stems from late-March stabilization of daytime highs at 20–22°C amid partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early April climatological norms where average highs hover near 20°C on the rising spring trend. Light winds and ample sunshine support these levels, though minor model discrepancies introduce uncertainty around 18–21°C; updated CMA observations and hourly data releases on April 3–4 could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,685结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 4 at around 19–20°C under sunny skies with gentle southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 19°C (36.5% implied probability) and 20°C (25.5%). This positioning stems from late-March stabilization of daytime highs at 20–22°C amid partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early April climatological norms where average highs hover near 20°C on the rising spring trend. Light winds and ample sunshine support these levels, though minor model discrepancies introduce uncertainty around 18–21°C; updated CMA observations and hourly data releases on April 3–4 could refine probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题