Market icon

4月5日北京气温最高?

Market icon

4月5日北京气温最高?

18°C 21%

20°C 19%

21°C 19%

19°C 15%

Polymarket
最新

18°C 21%

20°C 19%

21°C 19%

19°C 15%

Polymarket
最新

13°C或以下

$341 交易量

1%

14°C

$387 交易量

2%

15°C

$665 交易量

6%

16°C

$554 交易量

8%

17°C

$398 交易量

13%

18°C

$248 交易量

21%

19°C

$206 交易量

15%

20°C

$325 交易量

19%

21°C

$531 交易量

19%

22°C

$318 交易量

6%

23°C或更高

$285 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, relayed via the World Meteorological Organization, project a high of 19°C for Beijing on April 5 under clear skies, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means of 19–21°C and driving trader consensus around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent observations confirm stable mild spring conditions, with April 1 reaching 17°C amid clouds and April 2 near 20°C, fostering a slight cooling trend from a brief peak on April 3. Differentiating factors include model spreads on low-level southerly winds and residual haze, potentially boosting peaks to 20–21°C with stronger insolation or capping at 18°C under increased mixing; April's climatological mean maximum is 19.9°C. New runs expected daily as resolution nears at Beijing Capital International Airport station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,249
结束日期
2026-04-05
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts, relayed via the World Meteorological Organization, project a high of 19°C for Beijing on April 5 under clear skies, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means of 19–21°C and driving trader consensus around 18–20°C outcomes. Recent observations confirm stable mild spring conditions, with April 1 reaching 17°C amid clouds and April 2 near 20°C, fostering a slight cooling trend from a brief peak on April 3. Differentiating factors include model spreads on low-level southerly winds and residual haze, potentially boosting peaks to 20–21°C with stronger insolation or capping at 18°C under increased mixing; April's climatological mean maximum is 19.9°C. New runs expected daily as resolution nears at Beijing Capital International Airport station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,249
结束日期
2026-04-05
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"4月5日北京气温最高?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"18°C",概率为 21%,其次是"20°C",概率为 19%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 21¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 21%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"4月5日北京气温最高?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 1, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"4月5日北京气温最高?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"4月5日北京气温最高?"的当前领先者是"18°C",概率为 21%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 21%。紧随其后的结果是"20°C",概率为 19%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"4月5日北京气温最高?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。