Environment Canada's forecast issued April 2 pegs Toronto's April 6 high temperature at 5°C under mixed sun and cloud conditions at Pearson International Airport, driving trader consensus toward 5-7°C outcomes with 6°C at 24% implied probability amid a tight 1-2°C ensemble spread from GEM, GFS, and ECMWF models. This clustering stems from a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool northwest flow, suppressing highs below the early April climatological average of 9-10°C despite Lake Ontario moderation. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover—increased overcast favors 5°C, partial clearing boosts 6-7°C—while northwest winds around 15-20 km/h limit mixing. Monitor Canadian Meteorological Centre updates on April 5 for refined short-range guidance as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
6°C 25%
5°C 19%
7°C 19%
4°C 12%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
10%
4°C
12%
5°C
19%
6°C
25%
7°C
19%
8°C
10%
9°C
5%
10°C or higher
3%
6°C 25%
5°C 19%
7°C 19%
4°C 12%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
10%
4°C
12%
5°C
19%
6°C
25%
7°C
19%
8°C
10%
9°C
5%
10°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment Canada's forecast issued April 2 pegs Toronto's April 6 high temperature at 5°C under mixed sun and cloud conditions at Pearson International Airport, driving trader consensus toward 5-7°C outcomes with 6°C at 24% implied probability amid a tight 1-2°C ensemble spread from GEM, GFS, and ECMWF models. This clustering stems from a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool northwest flow, suppressing highs below the early April climatological average of 9-10°C despite Lake Ontario moderation. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover—increased overcast favors 5°C, partial clearing boosts 6-7°C—while northwest winds around 15-20 km/h limit mixing. Monitor Canadian Meteorological Centre updates on April 5 for refined short-range guidance as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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