Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 7°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30 percent chance of showers, capping temperatures after recent light drizzle and east winds holding current readings near 3°C. Yet trader consensus implies a 65 percent probability of 10°C or higher, reflecting ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models where some runs show highs to 12°C if showers clear early Saturday and southerly winds advect warmer air amid early-April climatological normals around 9°C. Key variables include cloud persistence post-low pressure system, precipitation timing, and upper-level steering patterns; prolonged overcast favors 7-9°C, while breaks and downsloping flow boost upper outcomes. Watch for Environment Canada updates overnight and new model runs by April 4 morning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
12°C or higher 31%
9°C 19%
8°C 15%
10°C 15%
最新
$10,383 交易量
最新
$10,383 交易量
2026-04-05
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
9%
8°C
15%
9°C
19%
10°C
15%
11°C
13%
12°C or higher
31%
12°C or higher 31%
9°C 19%
8°C 15%
10°C 15%
最新
$10,383 交易量
最新
$10,383 交易量
2026-04-05
2°C or below
$746 交易量
<1%
3°C
$723 交易量
<1%
4°C
$803 交易量
1%
5°C
$916 交易量
1%
6°C
$1,116 交易量
4%
7°C
$737 交易量
9%
8°C
$1,268 交易量
15%
9°C
$913 交易量
19%
10°C
$822 交易量
15%
11°C
$1,039 交易量
13%
12°C or higher
$1,300 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 7°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30 percent chance of showers, capping temperatures after recent light drizzle and east winds holding current readings near 3°C. Yet trader consensus implies a 65 percent probability of 10°C or higher, reflecting ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models where some runs show highs to 12°C if showers clear early Saturday and southerly winds advect warmer air amid early-April climatological normals around 9°C. Key variables include cloud persistence post-low pressure system, precipitation timing, and upper-level steering patterns; prolonged overcast favors 7-9°C, while breaks and downsloping flow boost upper outcomes. Watch for Environment Canada updates overnight and new model runs by April 4 morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$10,383结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 7°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30 percent chance of showers, capping temperatures after recent light drizzle and east winds holding current readings near 3°C. Yet trader consensus implies a 65 percent probability of 10°C or higher, reflecting ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models where some runs show highs to 12°C if showers clear early Saturday and southerly winds advect warmer air amid early-April climatological normals around 9°C. Key variables include cloud persistence post-low pressure system, precipitation timing, and upper-level steering patterns; prolonged overcast favors 7-9°C, while breaks and downsloping flow boost upper outcomes. Watch for Environment Canada updates overnight and new model runs by April 4 morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,383结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETEnvironment Canada's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 7°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30 percent chance of showers, capping temperatures after recent light drizzle and east winds holding current readings near 3°C. Yet trader consensus implies a 65 percent probability of 10°C or higher, reflecting ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models where some runs show highs to 12°C if showers clear early Saturday and southerly winds advect warmer air amid early-April climatological normals around 9°C. Key variables include cloud persistence post-low pressure system, precipitation timing, and upper-level steering patterns; prolonged overcast favors 7-9°C, while breaks and downsloping flow boost upper outcomes. Watch for Environment Canada updates overnight and new model runs by April 4 morning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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