Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 27°C high in Shenzhen on April 8 amid expected thundershowers and convective activity, anchoring trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 26–29°C at 20–23% each. Ongoing severe weather in the Pearl River Delta, including yellow rainstorm warnings and heavy rainfall through April 6, has cooled recent days and heightened cloud cover uncertainty, differentiating outcomes: persistent showers could cap peaks at 26°C via reduced solar insolation, while intermittent clearing might allow 28–29°C under subtropical high influence and urban heat effects. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread in afternoon heating potential; watch daily CMA updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
27°C 23%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
26°C 21%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
11%
26°C
21%
27°C
23%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
14%
27°C 23%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
26°C 21%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
11%
26°C
21%
27°C
23%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 27°C high in Shenzhen on April 8 amid expected thundershowers and convective activity, anchoring trader consensus with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 26–29°C at 20–23% each. Ongoing severe weather in the Pearl River Delta, including yellow rainstorm warnings and heavy rainfall through April 6, has cooled recent days and heightened cloud cover uncertainty, differentiating outcomes: persistent showers could cap peaks at 26°C via reduced solar insolation, while intermittent clearing might allow 28–29°C under subtropical high influence and urban heat effects. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread in afternoon heating potential; watch daily CMA updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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