Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (35.5%) and 80-81°F (31.5%) for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) highest temperature on April 4, reflecting latest National Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with isolated showers and gusty winds. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could enhance low-level cooling and cumulus cloud cover, capping peaks at 80-81°F, while delayed development allows fuller insolation for 82-83°F. Ensemble means from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show slight spread amid fading La Niña influences favoring near-normal April highs of 82°F after a cool winter. Watch afternoon NWS updates and hourly forecasts for resolution-defining boundary layer conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 4?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 4?
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 9%
$17,700 交易量
$17,700 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 9%
$17,700 交易量
$17,700 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (35.5%) and 80-81°F (31.5%) for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) highest temperature on April 4, reflecting latest National Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with isolated showers and gusty winds. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could enhance low-level cooling and cumulus cloud cover, capping peaks at 80-81°F, while delayed development allows fuller insolation for 82-83°F. Ensemble means from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show slight spread amid fading La Niña influences favoring near-normal April highs of 82°F after a cool winter. Watch afternoon NWS updates and hourly forecasts for resolution-defining boundary layer conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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