Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 86-87°F range at 40% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office projecting highs near 85-88°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1 p.m. South-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from recent Gulf moisture are fueling warm conditions following March 2026's record average of 70.8°F—the hottest on record—while isolated cloud cover and potential storms cap extremes above 90°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread, but afternoon forecast refinements could shift odds as convective timing affects peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 21%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 8%
$22,873 交易量
$22,873 交易量
2026-04-03
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 21%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 8%
$22,873 交易量
$22,873 交易量
2026-04-03
75°F or below
$2,949 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$3,438 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$734 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,958 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$1,308 交易量
8%
84-85°F
$1,516 交易量
21%
86-87°F
$2,382 交易量
41%
88-89°F
$3,219 交易量
19%
90-91°F
$2,018 交易量
4%
92-93°F
$1,854 交易量
1%
94°F or higher
$1,496 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 86-87°F range at 40% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office projecting highs near 85-88°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1 p.m. South-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from recent Gulf moisture are fueling warm conditions following March 2026's record average of 70.8°F—the hottest on record—while isolated cloud cover and potential storms cap extremes above 90°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread, but afternoon forecast refinements could shift odds as convective timing affects peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
交易量
$22,873结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 86-87°F range at 40% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office projecting highs near 85-88°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1 p.m. South-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from recent Gulf moisture are fueling warm conditions following March 2026's record average of 70.8°F—the hottest on record—while isolated cloud cover and potential storms cap extremes above 90°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread, but afternoon forecast refinements could shift odds as convective timing affects peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,873结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices the 86-87°F range at 40% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office projecting highs near 85-88°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1 p.m. South-southeasterly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from recent Gulf moisture are fueling warm conditions following March 2026's record average of 70.8°F—the hottest on record—while isolated cloud cover and potential storms cap extremes above 90°F. Model consensus shows minimal spread, but afternoon forecast refinements could shift odds as convective timing affects peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题