Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF projects Austin's highest temperature on April 6 at around 71-74°F under a post-frontal high-pressure ridge, with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting peak heating. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 70-75°F bins, reflecting model consensus amid inherent short-range uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds, which could shave 2-3°F off maxima. This setup follows Central Texas' recent milder pattern despite a warmer-than-average spring outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. Watch for overnight model updates and NWS forecast refinements by midday April 4, as small shifts in upper-air steering could tip outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 21%
68-69°F 14%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
4%
80°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 21%
68-69°F 14%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
4%
80°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF projects Austin's highest temperature on April 6 at around 71-74°F under a post-frontal high-pressure ridge, with light southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting peak heating. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 70-75°F bins, reflecting model consensus amid inherent short-range uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds, which could shave 2-3°F off maxima. This setup follows Central Texas' recent milder pattern despite a warmer-than-average spring outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. Watch for overnight model updates and NWS forecast refinements by midday April 4, as small shifts in upper-air steering could tip outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题