Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C (93.5% implied probability) at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 3, 2026, driven by the latest forecast model outputs from services like AccuWeather and World-Weather.info projecting daytime highs around 73–79°F (23–26°C), aligning with early April climatological averages of 22–24°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity. Current atmospheric patterns feature mild southerly flows and typical springtime diurnal heating in the Yangtze River basin, supporting this positioning without extreme anomalies. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting solar insolation to push toward 25°C (5.5% odds) or encroaching cloud cover suppressing it below 24°C; real-time hourly observations from the airport station will refine this as the day unfolds, with resolution via Weather Underground historical data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
24°C 96%
25°C 2.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$97,273 交易量
$97,273 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
96%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 96%
25°C 2.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$97,273 交易量
$97,273 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
96%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C (93.5% implied probability) at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 3, 2026, driven by the latest forecast model outputs from services like AccuWeather and World-Weather.info projecting daytime highs around 73–79°F (23–26°C), aligning with early April climatological averages of 22–24°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity. Current atmospheric patterns feature mild southerly flows and typical springtime diurnal heating in the Yangtze River basin, supporting this positioning without extreme anomalies. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting solar insolation to push toward 25°C (5.5% odds) or encroaching cloud cover suppressing it below 24°C; real-time hourly observations from the airport station will refine this as the day unfolds, with resolution via Weather Underground historical data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题