Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Chongqing's highest temperature on April 6 at 19°C or below (42.5% implied probability), with significant volume on 20°C (19.5%) and 21°C (23%), reflecting forecast model agreement from GFS and ECMWF clustering around 20-21°C. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend following April 4's warm high near 29°C, driven by a passing frontal system ushering in persistent mid-level clouds, passing showers on April 5, and expected drizzle/overcast conditions on April 6 that suppress daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather (23°C high) and TimeandDate (19°C) bracket the market range, underscoring uncertainty in cloud thickness and timing; updated model runs over the next 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official meteorological observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 6?
21°C 24%
19°C or below 22%
20°C 22%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
19°C or below
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
30%
22°C
16%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 24%
19°C or below 22%
20°C 22%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
19°C or below
$431 交易量
22%
20°C
$324 交易量
22%
21°C
$294 交易量
30%
22°C
$326 交易量
16%
23°C
$268 交易量
8%
24°C
$270 交易量
4%
25°C
$212 交易量
2%
26°C
$337 交易量
1%
27°C
$341 交易量
1%
28°C
$556 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$555 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Chongqing's highest temperature on April 6 at 19°C or below (42.5% implied probability), with significant volume on 20°C (19.5%) and 21°C (23%), reflecting forecast model agreement from GFS and ECMWF clustering around 20-21°C. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend following April 4's warm high near 29°C, driven by a passing frontal system ushering in persistent mid-level clouds, passing showers on April 5, and expected drizzle/overcast conditions on April 6 that suppress daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather (23°C high) and TimeandDate (19°C) bracket the market range, underscoring uncertainty in cloud thickness and timing; updated model runs over the next 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official meteorological observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
交易量
$3,915结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Chongqing's highest temperature on April 6 at 19°C or below (42.5% implied probability), with significant volume on 20°C (19.5%) and 21°C (23%), reflecting forecast model agreement from GFS and ECMWF clustering around 20-21°C. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend following April 4's warm high near 29°C, driven by a passing frontal system ushering in persistent mid-level clouds, passing showers on April 5, and expected drizzle/overcast conditions on April 6 that suppress daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather (23°C high) and TimeandDate (19°C) bracket the market range, underscoring uncertainty in cloud thickness and timing; updated model runs over the next 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official meteorological observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,915结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors Chongqing's highest temperature on April 6 at 19°C or below (42.5% implied probability), with significant volume on 20°C (19.5%) and 21°C (23%), reflecting forecast model agreement from GFS and ECMWF clustering around 20-21°C. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend following April 4's warm high near 29°C, driven by a passing frontal system ushering in persistent mid-level clouds, passing showers on April 5, and expected drizzle/overcast conditions on April 6 that suppress daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather (23°C high) and TimeandDate (19°C) bracket the market range, underscoring uncertainty in cloud thickness and timing; updated model runs over the next 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official meteorological observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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