Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 around 12-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, fueling trader consensus with 13°C at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 12°C (28%) and 14°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloudiness following today's mild frontal passage, with ICON runs leaning cooler amid potential overcast periods that could cap peaks at 12°C, while ECMWF suggests better insolation for 14°C. Early April climatology averages ~13°C highs, aligning with this tight clustering; watch DWD's evening update and real-time station data for final shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
13°C 29%
14°C 26%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
$20,433 交易量
$20,433 交易量
2026-04-04
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
12%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 29%
14°C 26%
15°C 15%
12°C 12%
$20,433 交易量
$20,433 交易量
2026-04-04
9°C or below
$3,255 交易量
1%
10°C
$1,371 交易量
2%
11°C
$1,932 交易量
5%
12°C
$1,878 交易量
12%
13°C
$1,766 交易量
29%
14°C
$1,620 交易量
26%
15°C
$2,490 交易量
15%
16°C
$1,503 交易量
4%
17°C
$1,513 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,599 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,579 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 around 12-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, fueling trader consensus with 13°C at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 12°C (28%) and 14°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloudiness following today's mild frontal passage, with ICON runs leaning cooler amid potential overcast periods that could cap peaks at 12°C, while ECMWF suggests better insolation for 14°C. Early April climatology averages ~13°C highs, aligning with this tight clustering; watch DWD's evening update and real-time station data for final shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
交易量
$20,433结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 around 12-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, fueling trader consensus with 13°C at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 12°C (28%) and 14°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloudiness following today's mild frontal passage, with ICON runs leaning cooler amid potential overcast periods that could cap peaks at 12°C, while ECMWF suggests better insolation for 14°C. Early April climatology averages ~13°C highs, aligning with this tight clustering; watch DWD's evening update and real-time station data for final shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,433结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETLatest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF forecast ensembles project Munich's highest temperature on April 4 around 12-14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, fueling trader consensus with 13°C at 36% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 12°C (28%) and 14°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloudiness following today's mild frontal passage, with ICON runs leaning cooler amid potential overcast periods that could cap peaks at 12°C, while ECMWF suggests better insolation for 14°C. Early April climatology averages ~13°C highs, aligning with this tight clustering; watch DWD's evening update and real-time station data for final shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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