Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on April 3 (99.5% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 24–25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport amid persistent overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Morning observations confirm starting temperatures around 13–14°C with high cloud cover, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather (78°F or 25.6°C high) and consistent regional patterns suppressing typical April highs near 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting shortwave radiation for a 26°C peak, though low wind shear and stable atmospheric profiles reduce this likelihood; monitor hourly airport readings for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
25°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,326 交易量
$86,326 交易量
2026-04-03
25°C
100%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,326 交易量
$86,326 交易量
2026-04-03
25°C
$16,153 交易量
100%
26°C
$9,446 交易量
1%
27°C
$6,376 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,855 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,889 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$3,956 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on April 3 (99.5% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 24–25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport amid persistent overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Morning observations confirm starting temperatures around 13–14°C with high cloud cover, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather (78°F or 25.6°C high) and consistent regional patterns suppressing typical April highs near 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting shortwave radiation for a 26°C peak, though low wind shear and stable atmospheric profiles reduce this likelihood; monitor hourly airport readings for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
交易量
$86,326结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on April 3 (99.5% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 24–25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport amid persistent overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Morning observations confirm starting temperatures around 13–14°C with high cloud cover, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather (78°F or 25.6°C high) and consistent regional patterns suppressing typical April highs near 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting shortwave radiation for a 26°C peak, though low wind shear and stable atmospheric profiles reduce this likelihood; monitor hourly airport readings for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$86,326结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on April 3 (99.5% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 24–25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport amid persistent overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Morning observations confirm starting temperatures around 13–14°C with high cloud cover, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather (78°F or 25.6°C high) and consistent regional patterns suppressing typical April highs near 22°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting shortwave radiation for a 26°C peak, though low wind shear and stable atmospheric profiles reduce this likelihood; monitor hourly airport readings for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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