Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5 at Shuangliu International Airport, with major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting maxima around 27°C amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Recent updates from NOAA-aligned sites (timeanddate.com: 27°C high; Weather Underground: 27°C) and AccuWeather (28°C) explain the near-tie between 27°C (28.5% implied probability) and 26°C (27%), as persistent cloud cover—common in Chengdu's basin topography during spring monsoon transition—caps heating potential despite upstream warmth from April 3-4 highs near 27-28°C. Clearing or stronger subtropical ridge influence could tip toward 28°C; watch daily China Meteorological Administration advisories for resolution-defining observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
28°C 16%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
12%
25°C
12%
26°C
28%
27°C
29%
28°C
16%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
28°C 16%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
20°C or below
$1,013 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,371 交易量
1%
22°C
$200 交易量
2%
23°C
$393 交易量
5%
24°C
$196 交易量
12%
25°C
$142 交易量
12%
26°C
$215 交易量
28%
27°C
$181 交易量
29%
28°C
$172 交易量
16%
29°C
$272 交易量
7%
30°C or higher
$487 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5 at Shuangliu International Airport, with major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting maxima around 27°C amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Recent updates from NOAA-aligned sites (timeanddate.com: 27°C high; Weather Underground: 27°C) and AccuWeather (28°C) explain the near-tie between 27°C (28.5% implied probability) and 26°C (27%), as persistent cloud cover—common in Chengdu's basin topography during spring monsoon transition—caps heating potential despite upstream warmth from April 3-4 highs near 27-28°C. Clearing or stronger subtropical ridge influence could tip toward 28°C; watch daily China Meteorological Administration advisories for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
交易量
$4,643结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5 at Shuangliu International Airport, with major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting maxima around 27°C amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Recent updates from NOAA-aligned sites (timeanddate.com: 27°C high; Weather Underground: 27°C) and AccuWeather (28°C) explain the near-tie between 27°C (28.5% implied probability) and 26°C (27%), as persistent cloud cover—common in Chengdu's basin topography during spring monsoon transition—caps heating potential despite upstream warmth from April 3-4 highs near 27-28°C. Clearing or stronger subtropical ridge influence could tip toward 28°C; watch daily China Meteorological Administration advisories for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,643结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 5 at Shuangliu International Airport, with major models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting maxima around 27°C amid overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Recent updates from NOAA-aligned sites (timeanddate.com: 27°C high; Weather Underground: 27°C) and AccuWeather (28°C) explain the near-tie between 27°C (28.5% implied probability) and 26°C (27%), as persistent cloud cover—common in Chengdu's basin topography during spring monsoon transition—caps heating potential despite upstream warmth from April 3-4 highs near 27-28°C. Clearing or stronger subtropical ridge influence could tip toward 28°C; watch daily China Meteorological Administration advisories for resolution-defining observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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