Latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts project a daytime high of 21°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 6, with light rain and persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system capping solar insolation and suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 20-22°C for early April in the humid Sichuan Basin. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows tight clustering near 21-22°C, reflecting trader consensus on these outcomes at 25.5% apiece, while lower odds for 20°C (13.5%) account for potential thicker overcast. Key differentiators include exact timing of any shower breaks—prolonged clouds favor 21°C, brief clearing could push to 22°C via added insolation. New hourly observations and CMA updates on April 5-6 will refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
16%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
3%
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
16%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts project a daytime high of 21°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 6, with light rain and persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system capping solar insolation and suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 20-22°C for early April in the humid Sichuan Basin. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows tight clustering near 21-22°C, reflecting trader consensus on these outcomes at 25.5% apiece, while lower odds for 20°C (13.5%) account for potential thicker overcast. Key differentiators include exact timing of any shower breaks—prolonged clouds favor 21°C, brief clearing could push to 22°C via added insolation. New hourly observations and CMA updates on April 5-6 will refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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