Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 23°C at 21.5% and 24°C at 22.5% leading closely, mirrors the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Shanghai's highest temperature near 23-25°C on April 5, amid a spring warming trend. Recent observations show highs of 21°C on April 1 and around 23°C on April 2, dipping to 16°C today under transient cloudiness, but models anticipate southerly winds and upper-level ridging to boost advection of warmer air, exceeding early-April climatological averages of 18°C. Differentiating factors include model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and potential low-level clouds, which could cap peaks at 23°C or allow 25°C under clearer skies. New 12Z runs from NOAA and CMA guidance expected within hours may shift odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
23°C 22%
24°C 22%
22°C 14%
25°C 14%
最新
$16,993 交易量
最新
$16,993 交易量
2026-04-05
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
14%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
14%
26°C
13%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 22%
24°C 22%
22°C 14%
25°C 14%
最新
$16,993 交易量
最新
$16,993 交易量
2026-04-05
18°C or below
$2,378 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,668 交易量
1%
20°C
$1,359 交易量
3%
21°C
$1,102 交易量
6%
22°C
$1,203 交易量
14%
23°C
$1,402 交易量
22%
24°C
$1,586 交易量
22%
25°C
$1,447 交易量
14%
26°C
$2,183 交易量
13%
27°C
$1,251 交易量
4%
28°C or higher
$1,442 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 23°C at 21.5% and 24°C at 22.5% leading closely, mirrors the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Shanghai's highest temperature near 23-25°C on April 5, amid a spring warming trend. Recent observations show highs of 21°C on April 1 and around 23°C on April 2, dipping to 16°C today under transient cloudiness, but models anticipate southerly winds and upper-level ridging to boost advection of warmer air, exceeding early-April climatological averages of 18°C. Differentiating factors include model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and potential low-level clouds, which could cap peaks at 23°C or allow 25°C under clearer skies. New 12Z runs from NOAA and CMA guidance expected within hours may shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$16,993结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 23°C at 21.5% and 24°C at 22.5% leading closely, mirrors the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Shanghai's highest temperature near 23-25°C on April 5, amid a spring warming trend. Recent observations show highs of 21°C on April 1 and around 23°C on April 2, dipping to 16°C today under transient cloudiness, but models anticipate southerly winds and upper-level ridging to boost advection of warmer air, exceeding early-April climatological averages of 18°C. Differentiating factors include model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and potential low-level clouds, which could cap peaks at 23°C or allow 25°C under clearer skies. New 12Z runs from NOAA and CMA guidance expected within hours may shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,993结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket, with 23°C at 21.5% and 24°C at 22.5% leading closely, mirrors the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Shanghai's highest temperature near 23-25°C on April 5, amid a spring warming trend. Recent observations show highs of 21°C on April 1 and around 23°C on April 2, dipping to 16°C today under transient cloudiness, but models anticipate southerly winds and upper-level ridging to boost advection of warmer air, exceeding early-April climatological averages of 18°C. Differentiating factors include model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and potential low-level clouds, which could cap peaks at 23°C or allow 25°C under clearer skies. New 12Z runs from NOAA and CMA guidance expected within hours may shift odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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