Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds, driving the tight market-implied odds where 23°C leads at 28%, closely trailed by 24°C (22%) and 22°C (21.5%). This follows a cool frontal passage on April 3 that brought rain and capped highs near 17°C, with post-frontal warming now enabling stronger diurnal heating above the early-April climatological average of 18–19°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—thicker layers could limit peaks to 22°C, while clearer skies favor 24°C—plus subtle shifts in high-pressure ridging. Traders await refined China Meteorological Administration guidance and new model runs on April 5 for clarity amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
23°C 29%
24°C 22%
22°C 19%
25°C 13%
$21,228 交易量
$21,228 交易量
2026-04-06
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
19%
23°C
29%
24°C
22%
25°C
13%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
5%
23°C 29%
24°C 22%
22°C 19%
25°C 13%
$21,228 交易量
$21,228 交易量
2026-04-06
17°C or below
$3,760 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,051 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,218 交易量
1%
20°C
$1,314 交易量
4%
21°C
$1,882 交易量
6%
22°C
$1,548 交易量
19%
23°C
$1,466 交易量
29%
24°C
$2,353 交易量
22%
25°C
$847 交易量
13%
26°C
$1,846 交易量
8%
27°C or higher
$3,966 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds, driving the tight market-implied odds where 23°C leads at 28%, closely trailed by 24°C (22%) and 22°C (21.5%). This follows a cool frontal passage on April 3 that brought rain and capped highs near 17°C, with post-frontal warming now enabling stronger diurnal heating above the early-April climatological average of 18–19°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—thicker layers could limit peaks to 22°C, while clearer skies favor 24°C—plus subtle shifts in high-pressure ridging. Traders await refined China Meteorological Administration guidance and new model runs on April 5 for clarity amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$21,228结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds, driving the tight market-implied odds where 23°C leads at 28%, closely trailed by 24°C (22%) and 22°C (21.5%). This follows a cool frontal passage on April 3 that brought rain and capped highs near 17°C, with post-frontal warming now enabling stronger diurnal heating above the early-April climatological average of 18–19°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—thicker layers could limit peaks to 22°C, while clearer skies favor 24°C—plus subtle shifts in high-pressure ridging. Traders await refined China Meteorological Administration guidance and new model runs on April 5 for clarity amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,228结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETLatest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds, driving the tight market-implied odds where 23°C leads at 28%, closely trailed by 24°C (22%) and 22°C (21.5%). This follows a cool frontal passage on April 3 that brought rain and capped highs near 17°C, with post-frontal warming now enabling stronger diurnal heating above the early-April climatological average of 18–19°C. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—thicker layers could limit peaks to 22°C, while clearer skies favor 24°C—plus subtle shifts in high-pressure ridging. Traders await refined China Meteorological Administration guidance and new model runs on April 5 for clarity amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题