The latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, as referenced in market analysis, center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 4 at around 13.5–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, driving trader-implied probabilities of 38.5% for 14°C and 28.5% for 13°C. This positioning reflects IMGW's recent weekly outlook (issued March 30) highlighting cool, stable spring conditions across Poland with average early-April highs near 13°C climatologically, ahead of potential Easter warming post-April 5. Model spreads of ±2°C account for uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) via Wunderground set to resolve the market; watch IMGW updates through midday April 4 for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 4?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 4?
14°C 41%
13°C 29%
15°C 15%
12°C 11%
$19,328 交易量
$19,328 交易量
2026-04-04
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
11%
13°C
29%
14°C
41%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 41%
13°C 29%
15°C 15%
12°C 11%
$19,328 交易量
$19,328 交易量
2026-04-04
10°C or below
$2,416 交易量
1%
11°C
$1,743 交易量
2%
12°C
$1,791 交易量
11%
13°C
$1,650 交易量
29%
14°C
$1,863 交易量
41%
15°C
$1,369 交易量
15%
16°C
$2,284 交易量
4%
17°C
$1,921 交易量
2%
18°C
$1,384 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,744 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,164 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, as referenced in market analysis, center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 4 at around 13.5–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, driving trader-implied probabilities of 38.5% for 14°C and 28.5% for 13°C. This positioning reflects IMGW's recent weekly outlook (issued March 30) highlighting cool, stable spring conditions across Poland with average early-April highs near 13°C climatologically, ahead of potential Easter warming post-April 5. Model spreads of ±2°C account for uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) via Wunderground set to resolve the market; watch IMGW updates through midday April 4 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$19,328结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, as referenced in market analysis, center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 4 at around 13.5–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, driving trader-implied probabilities of 38.5% for 14°C and 28.5% for 13°C. This positioning reflects IMGW's recent weekly outlook (issued March 30) highlighting cool, stable spring conditions across Poland with average early-April highs near 13°C climatologically, ahead of potential Easter warming post-April 5. Model spreads of ±2°C account for uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) via Wunderground set to resolve the market; watch IMGW updates through midday April 4 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,328结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETThe latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, as referenced in market analysis, center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 4 at around 13.5–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, driving trader-implied probabilities of 38.5% for 14°C and 28.5% for 13°C. This positioning reflects IMGW's recent weekly outlook (issued March 30) highlighting cool, stable spring conditions across Poland with average early-April highs near 13°C climatologically, ahead of potential Easter warming post-April 5. Model spreads of ±2°C account for uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) via Wunderground set to resolve the market; watch IMGW updates through midday April 4 for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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