Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on April 7, with implied probabilities evenly split across outcomes amid diverging GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs projecting highs from the low 20s°C to near 29°C. Recent cold fronts, including Frente Frío 43 nearing during early April 2026's transition to ENSO-neutral conditions, have introduced cloudy skies and gusty winds that suppress daytime heating, boosting odds for 19°C or below (25.5%) and mid-20s buckets, while persistent high pressure could enable rapid warming toward 29°C or higher (25.5%). Climatological early-April highs average 26°C with rare extremes; watch SMN updates and new model cycles for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 7?
24°C 26%
29°C or higher 24%
19°C or below 19%
23°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
19°C or below
19%
20°C
11%
21°C
14%
22°C
17%
23°C
19%
24°C
26%
25°C
18%
26°C
15%
27°C
17%
28°C
16%
29°C or higher
24%
24°C 26%
29°C or higher 24%
19°C or below 19%
23°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
19°C or below
$20 交易量
19%
20°C
$0 交易量
11%
21°C
$0 交易量
14%
22°C
$0 交易量
17%
23°C
$0 交易量
19%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
18%
26°C
$58 交易量
15%
27°C
$0 交易量
17%
28°C
$0 交易量
16%
29°C or higher
$14 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on April 7, with implied probabilities evenly split across outcomes amid diverging GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs projecting highs from the low 20s°C to near 29°C. Recent cold fronts, including Frente Frío 43 nearing during early April 2026's transition to ENSO-neutral conditions, have introduced cloudy skies and gusty winds that suppress daytime heating, boosting odds for 19°C or below (25.5%) and mid-20s buckets, while persistent high pressure could enable rapid warming toward 29°C or higher (25.5%). Climatological early-April highs average 26°C with rare extremes; watch SMN updates and new model cycles for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:48 AM ET
交易量
$92结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:48 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on April 7, with implied probabilities evenly split across outcomes amid diverging GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs projecting highs from the low 20s°C to near 29°C. Recent cold fronts, including Frente Frío 43 nearing during early April 2026's transition to ENSO-neutral conditions, have introduced cloudy skies and gusty winds that suppress daytime heating, boosting odds for 19°C or below (25.5%) and mid-20s buckets, while persistent high pressure could enable rapid warming toward 29°C or higher (25.5%). Climatological early-April highs average 26°C with rare extremes; watch SMN updates and new model cycles for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$92结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:48 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Mexico City's highest temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on April 7, with implied probabilities evenly split across outcomes amid diverging GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs projecting highs from the low 20s°C to near 29°C. Recent cold fronts, including Frente Frío 43 nearing during early April 2026's transition to ENSO-neutral conditions, have introduced cloudy skies and gusty winds that suppress daytime heating, boosting odds for 19°C or below (25.5%) and mid-20s buckets, while persistent high pressure could enable rapid warming toward 29°C or higher (25.5%). Climatological early-April highs average 26°C with rare extremes; watch SMN updates and new model cycles for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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