Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged tightly on a 13°C daytime high for Paris on April 3, driving the 93.8% market-implied probability, as persistent overcast skies and northwest winds cap warming under a cool air mass. Morning observations at Paris-Montsouris station started near 10°C with full cloud cover, aligning with limited solar insolation and historical early-April averages around 13.7°C. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability in high-resolution AROME runs. Realistic challenges include afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra heating to 14°C or urban heat effects, though official hourly updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?
13°C 93.9%
14°C 10%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$172,442 交易量
$172,442 交易量
2026-04-03
12°C
<1%
13°C
94%
14°C
10%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 93.9%
14°C 10%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$172,442 交易量
$172,442 交易量
2026-04-03
12°C
$24,389 交易量
<1%
13°C
$15,385 交易量
94%
14°C
$16,348 交易量
10%
15°C
$14,766 交易量
1%
16°C
$9,681 交易量
<1%
17°C
$5,994 交易量
<1%
18°C or higher
$3,138 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged tightly on a 13°C daytime high for Paris on April 3, driving the 93.8% market-implied probability, as persistent overcast skies and northwest winds cap warming under a cool air mass. Morning observations at Paris-Montsouris station started near 10°C with full cloud cover, aligning with limited solar insolation and historical early-April averages around 13.7°C. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability in high-resolution AROME runs. Realistic challenges include afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra heating to 14°C or urban heat effects, though official hourly updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
交易量
$172,442结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged tightly on a 13°C daytime high for Paris on April 3, driving the 93.8% market-implied probability, as persistent overcast skies and northwest winds cap warming under a cool air mass. Morning observations at Paris-Montsouris station started near 10°C with full cloud cover, aligning with limited solar insolation and historical early-April averages around 13.7°C. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability in high-resolution AROME runs. Realistic challenges include afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra heating to 14°C or urban heat effects, though official hourly updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$172,442结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ETEnsemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged tightly on a 13°C daytime high for Paris on April 3, driving the 93.8% market-implied probability, as persistent overcast skies and northwest winds cap warming under a cool air mass. Morning observations at Paris-Montsouris station started near 10°C with full cloud cover, aligning with limited solar insolation and historical early-April averages around 13.7°C. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability in high-resolution AROME runs. Realistic challenges include afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra heating to 14°C or urban heat effects, though official hourly updates through evening will clarify the peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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