Latest ECMWF and Météo-France ensemble forecasts project Paris highs clustering tightly around 14°C on April 5 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, fueling trader sentiment split nearly evenly between 14°C (32%) and 15°C (31%), with 13°C and 16°C close behind. This reflects model variability in cloud cover—partial clearing could boost insolation for 15-16°C, while persistent northwest winds and overcast skies favor 13-14°C—amid an unsettled early-spring pattern with cool air masses dominating Île-de-France. Historical early-April highs average 14°C, but short-range uncertainty persists; watch 00Z/12Z ECMWF updates and Météo-France bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日巴黎气温最高?
4月5日巴黎气温最高?
14°C 33%
15°C 32%
16°C 21%
13°C 17%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
33%
15°C
32%
16°C
21%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C或更高
<1%
14°C 33%
15°C 32%
16°C 21%
13°C 17%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
33%
15°C
32%
16°C
21%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ECMWF and Météo-France ensemble forecasts project Paris highs clustering tightly around 14°C on April 5 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, fueling trader sentiment split nearly evenly between 14°C (32%) and 15°C (31%), with 13°C and 16°C close behind. This reflects model variability in cloud cover—partial clearing could boost insolation for 15-16°C, while persistent northwest winds and overcast skies favor 13-14°C—amid an unsettled early-spring pattern with cool air masses dominating Île-de-France. Historical early-April highs average 14°C, but short-range uncertainty persists; watch 00Z/12Z ECMWF updates and Météo-France bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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