Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting Paris's highest temperature on April 6 around 15–17°C, with 16°C leading at 32.5% amid a cool, unsettled pattern featuring northerly winds and scattered clouds over Île-de-France following recent rainy days. High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS runs occasionally warmer toward 18–19°C under brief high-pressure ridging, while cooler outliers dip to 14°C or below if cloud cover thickens—consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs and typical spring variability. Key variables include wind direction shifts, boundary layer mixing, and diurnal heating; watch daily National Weather Service updates and 00Z model refreshes for potential swings before resolution at official Paris stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
16°C 36%
17°C 22%
15°C 16%
14°C or below 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
13%
15°C
16%
16°C
36%
17°C
22%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
16°C 36%
17°C 22%
15°C 16%
14°C or below 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
$425 交易量
13%
15°C
$264 交易量
16%
16°C
$537 交易量
36%
17°C
$283 交易量
22%
18°C
$379 交易量
14%
19°C
$1,014 交易量
5%
20°C
$268 交易量
4%
21°C
$216 交易量
2%
22°C
$257 交易量
1%
23°C
$291 交易量
1%
24°C or higher
$574 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting Paris's highest temperature on April 6 around 15–17°C, with 16°C leading at 32.5% amid a cool, unsettled pattern featuring northerly winds and scattered clouds over Île-de-France following recent rainy days. High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS runs occasionally warmer toward 18–19°C under brief high-pressure ridging, while cooler outliers dip to 14°C or below if cloud cover thickens—consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs and typical spring variability. Key variables include wind direction shifts, boundary layer mixing, and diurnal heating; watch daily National Weather Service updates and 00Z model refreshes for potential swings before resolution at official Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$4,510结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting Paris's highest temperature on April 6 around 15–17°C, with 16°C leading at 32.5% amid a cool, unsettled pattern featuring northerly winds and scattered clouds over Île-de-France following recent rainy days. High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS runs occasionally warmer toward 18–19°C under brief high-pressure ridging, while cooler outliers dip to 14°C or below if cloud cover thickens—consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs and typical spring variability. Key variables include wind direction shifts, boundary layer mixing, and diurnal heating; watch daily National Weather Service updates and 00Z model refreshes for potential swings before resolution at official Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,510结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting Paris's highest temperature on April 6 around 15–17°C, with 16°C leading at 32.5% amid a cool, unsettled pattern featuring northerly winds and scattered clouds over Île-de-France following recent rainy days. High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS runs occasionally warmer toward 18–19°C under brief high-pressure ridging, while cooler outliers dip to 14°C or below if cloud cover thickens—consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs and typical spring variability. Key variables include wind direction shifts, boundary layer mixing, and diurnal heating; watch daily National Weather Service updates and 00Z model refreshes for potential swings before resolution at official Paris stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题