Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 17°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability, as a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly airflow and partial sunshine above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show strong agreement on these levels, with minor risks from early sprinkles or increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 16°C (18.5%). Observations from Paris-Montsouris station on April 3 reached around 14°C, aligning with steady spring warming trends. Final hourly data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
17°C or higher 79%
16°C 18%
15°C 3.8%
14°C 2.5%
$22,133 交易量
$22,133 交易量
2026-04-04
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
79%
17°C or higher 79%
16°C 18%
15°C 3.8%
14°C 2.5%
$22,133 交易量
$22,133 交易量
2026-04-04
7°C or below
$1,825 交易量
<1%
8°C
$1,304 交易量
<1%
9°C
$1,541 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,819 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,245 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,524 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,231 交易量
1%
14°C
$2,285 交易量
3%
15°C
$1,865 交易量
4%
16°C
$2,456 交易量
18%
17°C or higher
$4,112 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 17°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability, as a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly airflow and partial sunshine above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show strong agreement on these levels, with minor risks from early sprinkles or increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 16°C (18.5%). Observations from Paris-Montsouris station on April 3 reached around 14°C, aligning with steady spring warming trends. Final hourly data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
交易量
$22,133结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 17°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability, as a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly airflow and partial sunshine above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show strong agreement on these levels, with minor risks from early sprinkles or increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 16°C (18.5%). Observations from Paris-Montsouris station on April 3 reached around 14°C, aligning with steady spring warming trends. Final hourly data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,133结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France project Paris highs of 17–19°C on April 4, driving trader consensus toward 17°C or higher at 68.5% implied probability, as a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly airflow and partial sunshine above seasonal norms of 13–14°C. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show strong agreement on these levels, with minor risks from early sprinkles or increased cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 16°C (18.5%). Observations from Paris-Montsouris station on April 3 reached around 14°C, aligning with steady spring warming trends. Final hourly data releases tomorrow will confirm the peak, amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题