The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 24-25°C for Taipei on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market-implied 98% probability on 25°C as traders align with this official guidance from Taiwan's primary meteorological authority. This positioning reflects a passing frontal system capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and humidity, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 24-26°C amid spring transition patterns. Current observations at Songshan station show midday readings near 23-25°C, reinforcing the consensus. Realistic challenges include faster front clearance allowing brief sunshine to push toward 26-27°C per ensemble models, or heavier rain keeping it at 24°C; hourly CWA updates and final station data will clarify as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
25°C 98.0%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,000 交易量
$68,000 交易量
2026-04-03
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.0%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,000 交易量
$68,000 交易量
2026-04-03
24°C
$7,606 交易量
<1%
25°C
$8,382 交易量
98%
26°C
$3,998 交易量
1%
27°C
$5,591 交易量
<1%
28°C
$5,470 交易量
1%
29°C
$6,073 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,268 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,706 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,813 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$9,712 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 24-25°C for Taipei on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market-implied 98% probability on 25°C as traders align with this official guidance from Taiwan's primary meteorological authority. This positioning reflects a passing frontal system capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and humidity, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 24-26°C amid spring transition patterns. Current observations at Songshan station show midday readings near 23-25°C, reinforcing the consensus. Realistic challenges include faster front clearance allowing brief sunshine to push toward 26-27°C per ensemble models, or heavier rain keeping it at 24°C; hourly CWA updates and final station data will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$68,000结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 24-25°C for Taipei on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market-implied 98% probability on 25°C as traders align with this official guidance from Taiwan's primary meteorological authority. This positioning reflects a passing frontal system capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and humidity, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 24-26°C amid spring transition patterns. Current observations at Songshan station show midday readings near 23-25°C, reinforcing the consensus. Realistic challenges include faster front clearance allowing brief sunshine to push toward 26-27°C per ensemble models, or heavier rain keeping it at 24°C; hourly CWA updates and final station data will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$68,000结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 24-25°C for Taipei on April 3 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market-implied 98% probability on 25°C as traders align with this official guidance from Taiwan's primary meteorological authority. This positioning reflects a passing frontal system capping temperatures through increased cloud cover and humidity, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 24-26°C amid spring transition patterns. Current observations at Songshan station show midday readings near 23-25°C, reinforcing the consensus. Realistic challenges include faster front clearance allowing brief sunshine to push toward 26-27°C per ensemble models, or heavier rain keeping it at 24°C; hourly CWA updates and final station data will clarify as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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