The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for Taipei on April 5 projects daytime highs of 19–25°C amid mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers from an approaching frontal system, capping solar heating and introducing uncertainty in peak temperatures. This aligns with historical April averages around 24°C, yet trader consensus favors slightly warmer outcomes at 26°C (20.5% implied probability) and 27°C (21.0%), reflecting divergence in global models like GFS and ECMWF that show potential for 26–28°C if precipitation eases. High humidity and cloud cover are key differentiators, with lighter showers allowing brief insolation spikes versus heavier rain suppressing highs below 25°C; watch CWA's daily updates and new model runs for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
27°C 22%
26°C 20%
28°C 15%
25°C 14%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
14%
26°C
20%
27°C
22%
28°C
15%
29°C
12%
30°C
6%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 22%
26°C 20%
28°C 15%
25°C 14%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
14%
26°C
20%
27°C
22%
28°C
15%
29°C
12%
30°C
6%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for Taipei on April 5 projects daytime highs of 19–25°C amid mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers from an approaching frontal system, capping solar heating and introducing uncertainty in peak temperatures. This aligns with historical April averages around 24°C, yet trader consensus favors slightly warmer outcomes at 26°C (20.5% implied probability) and 27°C (21.0%), reflecting divergence in global models like GFS and ECMWF that show potential for 26–28°C if precipitation eases. High humidity and cloud cover are key differentiators, with lighter showers allowing brief insolation spikes versus heavier rain suppressing highs below 25°C; watch CWA's daily updates and new model runs for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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