Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Mexico City's highest temperature near 23°C on April 5, with a 2–3°C spread driving the razor-thin odds separating 22°C (31%), 23°C (32%), and 24°C (24%). At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs hover around 24°C, moderated by frequent afternoon cloud development and potential thunderstorms, as indicated by current model guidance showing PM convective activity. Differentiating factors include precise ridge strength aloft for temperature advection, low-level moisture influencing cloud cover timing, and urban heat effects, all contributing to model divergence. New SMN and international model runs expected April 4 could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?
24°C 33%
23°C 29%
22°C 12%
25°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
21°C or below
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
33%
25°C
11%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
23°C 29%
22°C 12%
25°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
21°C or below
$749 交易量
3%
22°C
$417 交易量
12%
23°C
$340 交易量
29%
24°C
$278 交易量
33%
25°C
$256 交易量
11%
26°C
$258 交易量
9%
27°C
$216 交易量
3%
28°C
$221 交易量
1%
29°C
$325 交易量
<1%
30°C
$595 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$619 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Mexico City's highest temperature near 23°C on April 5, with a 2–3°C spread driving the razor-thin odds separating 22°C (31%), 23°C (32%), and 24°C (24%). At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs hover around 24°C, moderated by frequent afternoon cloud development and potential thunderstorms, as indicated by current model guidance showing PM convective activity. Differentiating factors include precise ridge strength aloft for temperature advection, low-level moisture influencing cloud cover timing, and urban heat effects, all contributing to model divergence. New SMN and international model runs expected April 4 could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,274结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Mexico City's highest temperature near 23°C on April 5, with a 2–3°C spread driving the razor-thin odds separating 22°C (31%), 23°C (32%), and 24°C (24%). At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs hover around 24°C, moderated by frequent afternoon cloud development and potential thunderstorms, as indicated by current model guidance showing PM convective activity. Differentiating factors include precise ridge strength aloft for temperature advection, low-level moisture influencing cloud cover timing, and urban heat effects, all contributing to model divergence. New SMN and international model runs expected April 4 could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,274结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Mexico City's highest temperature near 23°C on April 5, with a 2–3°C spread driving the razor-thin odds separating 22°C (31%), 23°C (32%), and 24°C (24%). At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs hover around 24°C, moderated by frequent afternoon cloud development and potential thunderstorms, as indicated by current model guidance showing PM convective activity. Differentiating factors include precise ridge strength aloft for temperature advection, low-level moisture influencing cloud cover timing, and urban heat effects, all contributing to model divergence. New SMN and international model runs expected April 4 could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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