Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 27°C (36%) and 26°C (26%) as the leading outcomes for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, aligning closely with the city's climatological April average high of 26°C at its 2,240-meter elevation, where thinner air limits daytime heating despite ample solar insolation in the dry season. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) bulletins and global forecast models like GFS indicate stable high-pressure conditions with mostly clear skies, fostering a peak near these levels after morning lows around 12-14°C, following slightly cooler late-March highs around 20-22°C. No major fronts or precipitation threats alter this; resolution hinges on afternoon observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX), with model ensembles showing low spread but typical 1-2°C daily variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
27°C 37%
28°C 18.3%
26°C 18%
25°C 13%
$19,424 交易量
$19,424 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
13%
26°C
18%
27°C
37%
28°C
18%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 18.3%
26°C 18%
25°C 13%
$19,424 交易量
$19,424 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
13%
26°C
18%
27°C
37%
28°C
18%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 27°C (36%) and 26°C (26%) as the leading outcomes for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, aligning closely with the city's climatological April average high of 26°C at its 2,240-meter elevation, where thinner air limits daytime heating despite ample solar insolation in the dry season. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) bulletins and global forecast models like GFS indicate stable high-pressure conditions with mostly clear skies, fostering a peak near these levels after morning lows around 12-14°C, following slightly cooler late-March highs around 20-22°C. No major fronts or precipitation threats alter this; resolution hinges on afternoon observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX), with model ensembles showing low spread but typical 1-2°C daily variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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