Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 5 clustering tightly around 19-21°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly flow and above-normal early spring warmth. This setup has boosted probabilities for these outcomes, diverging from the typical early April climatological high of 11-13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport due to persistent sunny skies and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 19°C—or brief convective showers pushing toward 21°C. New 12Z model runs expected April 4 could refine these market-implied odds further, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 5?
20°C 24%
19°C 24%
21°C 20%
18°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
15%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
20%
22°C or higher
13%
20°C 24%
19°C 24%
21°C 20%
18°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
12°C or below
$723 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,018 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,316 交易量
<1%
15°C
$702 交易量
3%
16°C
$369 交易量
3%
17°C
$471 交易量
7%
18°C
$734 交易量
15%
19°C
$616 交易量
24%
20°C
$480 交易量
24%
21°C
$722 交易量
20%
22°C or higher
$673 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 5 clustering tightly around 19-21°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly flow and above-normal early spring warmth. This setup has boosted probabilities for these outcomes, diverging from the typical early April climatological high of 11-13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport due to persistent sunny skies and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 19°C—or brief convective showers pushing toward 21°C. New 12Z model runs expected April 4 could refine these market-implied odds further, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$7,825结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 5 clustering tightly around 19-21°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly flow and above-normal early spring warmth. This setup has boosted probabilities for these outcomes, diverging from the typical early April climatological high of 11-13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport due to persistent sunny skies and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 19°C—or brief convective showers pushing toward 21°C. New 12Z model runs expected April 4 could refine these market-implied odds further, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,825结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 5 clustering tightly around 19-21°C amid a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe fostering mild southerly flow and above-normal early spring warmth. This setup has boosted probabilities for these outcomes, diverging from the typical early April climatological high of 11-13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport due to persistent sunny skies and light winds enhancing daytime heating. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon cloud cover—potentially capping peaks at 19°C—or brief convective showers pushing toward 21°C. New 12Z model runs expected April 4 could refine these market-implied odds further, underscoring short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题