Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a sunny day in Chongqing on April 4 with a high of 28°C under light northeast winds below 12 km/h, anchoring trader sentiment toward the closely contested 26-28°C outcomes and implying 75% probability for these buckets. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing upper-20s peaks amid subtropical ridging aloft promoting subsidence and strong diurnal heating in the city's heat-trapping basin topography, though discrepancies arise from varying predictions of afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing that could cap peaks at 26-27°C. Airport observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International— the market's resolution station—typically lag urban maxima slightly; overnight updates and morning soundings will refine odds before peak heating around 2-4 p.m. local time. Historical April highs average 23°C, underscoring the warming trend driving current elevated implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 4?
27°C 32%
28°C 28%
26°C 25%
29°C 15%
$16,699 交易量
$16,699 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
25%
27°C
32%
28°C
28%
29°C
15%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
28°C 28%
26°C 25%
29°C 15%
$16,699 交易量
$16,699 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
25%
27°C
32%
28°C
28%
29°C
15%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a sunny day in Chongqing on April 4 with a high of 28°C under light northeast winds below 12 km/h, anchoring trader sentiment toward the closely contested 26-28°C outcomes and implying 75% probability for these buckets. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing upper-20s peaks amid subtropical ridging aloft promoting subsidence and strong diurnal heating in the city's heat-trapping basin topography, though discrepancies arise from varying predictions of afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing that could cap peaks at 26-27°C. Airport observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International— the market's resolution station—typically lag urban maxima slightly; overnight updates and morning soundings will refine odds before peak heating around 2-4 p.m. local time. Historical April highs average 23°C, underscoring the warming trend driving current elevated implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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