Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustered around 22–24°C due to divergent predictions on cloud cover and solar insolation. The Weather Channel's outlook shows 24°C under cloudy skies with 24% precipitation risk, capping daytime heating, while the UK Met Office anticipates sunnier conditions pushing 28°C amid light winds (max gust 15 mph). This spread stems from evolving synoptic patterns in southern China's warmer-than-average spring, where recent April 3 highs hit 23–26°C per China Meteorological Administration relays. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and frontal influences; new model runs expected April 4 could sharpen consensus as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
23°C 25%
22°C 23%
24°C 20%
21°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
16%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
20%
25°C
9%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 25%
22°C 23%
24°C 20%
21°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
17°C or below
$784 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,333 交易量
2%
19°C
$343 交易量
6%
20°C
$347 交易量
11%
21°C
$335 交易量
16%
22°C
$276 交易量
23%
23°C
$208 交易量
25%
24°C
$161 交易量
20%
25°C
$133 交易量
9%
26°C
$159 交易量
7%
27°C or higher
$215 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustered around 22–24°C due to divergent predictions on cloud cover and solar insolation. The Weather Channel's outlook shows 24°C under cloudy skies with 24% precipitation risk, capping daytime heating, while the UK Met Office anticipates sunnier conditions pushing 28°C amid light winds (max gust 15 mph). This spread stems from evolving synoptic patterns in southern China's warmer-than-average spring, where recent April 3 highs hit 23–26°C per China Meteorological Administration relays. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and frontal influences; new model runs expected April 4 could sharpen consensus as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
交易量
$4,293结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustered around 22–24°C due to divergent predictions on cloud cover and solar insolation. The Weather Channel's outlook shows 24°C under cloudy skies with 24% precipitation risk, capping daytime heating, while the UK Met Office anticipates sunnier conditions pushing 28°C amid light winds (max gust 15 mph). This spread stems from evolving synoptic patterns in southern China's warmer-than-average spring, where recent April 3 highs hit 23–26°C per China Meteorological Administration relays. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and frontal influences; new model runs expected April 4 could sharpen consensus as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,293结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustered around 22–24°C due to divergent predictions on cloud cover and solar insolation. The Weather Channel's outlook shows 24°C under cloudy skies with 24% precipitation risk, capping daytime heating, while the UK Met Office anticipates sunnier conditions pushing 28°C amid light winds (max gust 15 mph). This spread stems from evolving synoptic patterns in southern China's warmer-than-average spring, where recent April 3 highs hit 23–26°C per China Meteorological Administration relays. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and frontal influences; new model runs expected April 4 could sharpen consensus as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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