Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 7, with Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS showing divergent members: some projecting below 14°C under northerly cold air advection from recent frontal passages, others above 24°C if a subtropical high-pressure ridge strengthens. Typical early April highs average 18°C amid spring variability driven by jet stream waviness and Pacific moisture influx, but daily swings of 5–10°C are common due to cloud cover, winds, and transient lows. JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals near-normal conditions with fluctuations; next 00Z model runs and JMA advisories will clarify steering patterns and refinement probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月7日东京气温最高？
4月7日东京气温最高？
18°C 28%
19°C 22%
20°C 20%
17°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
28%
19°C
22%
20°C
20%
21°C
16%
22°C
14%
23°C
16%
24°C或更高
6%
18°C 28%
19°C 22%
20°C 20%
17°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
14°C或以下
$1,107 交易量
1%
15°C
$0 交易量
6%
16°C
$0 交易量
6%
17°C
$0 交易量
17%
18°C
$6 交易量
28%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$0 交易量
20%
21°C
$0 交易量
16%
22°C
$34 交易量
14%
23°C
$0 交易量
16%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 7, with Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS showing divergent members: some projecting below 14°C under northerly cold air advection from recent frontal passages, others above 24°C if a subtropical high-pressure ridge strengthens. Typical early April highs average 18°C amid spring variability driven by jet stream waviness and Pacific moisture influx, but daily swings of 5–10°C are common due to cloud cover, winds, and transient lows. JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals near-normal conditions with fluctuations; next 00Z model runs and JMA advisories will clarify steering patterns and refinement probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,147结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 7, with Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS showing divergent members: some projecting below 14°C under northerly cold air advection from recent frontal passages, others above 24°C if a subtropical high-pressure ridge strengthens. Typical early April highs average 18°C amid spring variability driven by jet stream waviness and Pacific moisture influx, but daily swings of 5–10°C are common due to cloud cover, winds, and transient lows. JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals near-normal conditions with fluctuations; next 00Z model runs and JMA advisories will clarify steering patterns and refinement probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,147结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 7, with Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS showing divergent members: some projecting below 14°C under northerly cold air advection from recent frontal passages, others above 24°C if a subtropical high-pressure ridge strengthens. Typical early April highs average 18°C amid spring variability driven by jet stream waviness and Pacific moisture influx, but daily swings of 5–10°C are common due to cloud cover, winds, and transient lows. JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals near-normal conditions with fluctuations; next 00Z model runs and JMA advisories will clarify steering patterns and refinement probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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