Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%), 22°C (29.5%), and 23°C or higher (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from divergent models amid Tokyo's variable early spring weather. AccuWeather's latest outlook projects a 23°C high on April 5, with clouds giving way to brighter skies and warmer conditions following April 4's expected windy rain (17°C high), potentially driven by post-frontal high pressure and increased solar heating. However, Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-month release warns of regional warm spikes above average (~19°C historical April highs), but persistent clouds or northerly winds could cap peaks at 21-22°C. JMA and ensemble model updates on April 4 will clarify steering patterns and temperature advection, key differentiators in this tight race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日东京气温最高？
4月5日东京气温最高？
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C或更高 24%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
12%
21°C
31%
22°C
33%
23°C或更高
26%
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C或更高 24%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
13°C或以下
$809 交易量
<1%
14°C
$909 交易量
<1%
15°C
$767 交易量
<1%
16°C
$808 交易量
1%
17°C
$725 交易量
2%
18°C
$682 交易量
3%
19°C
$620 交易量
6%
20°C
$788 交易量
12%
21°C
$587 交易量
31%
22°C
$634 交易量
33%
23°C或更高
$1,132 交易量
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%), 22°C (29.5%), and 23°C or higher (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from divergent models amid Tokyo's variable early spring weather. AccuWeather's latest outlook projects a 23°C high on April 5, with clouds giving way to brighter skies and warmer conditions following April 4's expected windy rain (17°C high), potentially driven by post-frontal high pressure and increased solar heating. However, Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-month release warns of regional warm spikes above average (~19°C historical April highs), but persistent clouds or northerly winds could cap peaks at 21-22°C. JMA and ensemble model updates on April 4 will clarify steering patterns and temperature advection, key differentiators in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,265结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%), 22°C (29.5%), and 23°C or higher (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from divergent models amid Tokyo's variable early spring weather. AccuWeather's latest outlook projects a 23°C high on April 5, with clouds giving way to brighter skies and warmer conditions following April 4's expected windy rain (17°C high), potentially driven by post-frontal high pressure and increased solar heating. However, Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-month release warns of regional warm spikes above average (~19°C historical April highs), but persistent clouds or northerly winds could cap peaks at 21-22°C. JMA and ensemble model updates on April 4 will clarify steering patterns and temperature advection, key differentiators in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,265结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%), 22°C (29.5%), and 23°C or higher (22.0%), reflecting short-term forecast uncertainty from divergent models amid Tokyo's variable early spring weather. AccuWeather's latest outlook projects a 23°C high on April 5, with clouds giving way to brighter skies and warmer conditions following April 4's expected windy rain (17°C high), potentially driven by post-frontal high pressure and increased solar heating. However, Japan Meteorological Agency's April 2 one-month release warns of regional warm spikes above average (~19°C historical April highs), but persistent clouds or northerly winds could cap peaks at 21-22°C. JMA and ensemble model updates on April 4 will clarify steering patterns and temperature advection, key differentiators in this tight race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题