Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 7, with implied odds centering on 23-24°C amid typical early-spring Sichuan Basin cloudiness and frontal moisture. Recent China Meteorological Administration reports show highs of 22-24°C over the past 48 hours under overcast skies and rain, a 2-4°C above-normal anomaly for the region driven by strengthening southerly flows. Global models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit a ±2-3°C spread, differentiated by cloud cover evolution—persistent stratus decks capping peaks at 20-22°C, while partial clearing and insolation could boost to 25°C+. Daily CMA updates through April 6, tracking Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport observations, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 7?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 7?
25°C or higher 26%
24°C 22%
23°C 20%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
26%
25°C or higher 26%
24°C 22%
23°C 20%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
15°C or below
$186 交易量
1%
16°C
$172 交易量
2%
17°C
$277 交易量
1%
18°C
$0 交易量
10%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$41 交易量
16%
21°C
$17 交易量
17%
22°C
$10 交易量
17%
23°C
$0 交易量
20%
24°C
$0 交易量
22%
25°C or higher
$0 交易量
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 7, with implied odds centering on 23-24°C amid typical early-spring Sichuan Basin cloudiness and frontal moisture. Recent China Meteorological Administration reports show highs of 22-24°C over the past 48 hours under overcast skies and rain, a 2-4°C above-normal anomaly for the region driven by strengthening southerly flows. Global models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit a ±2-3°C spread, differentiated by cloud cover evolution—persistent stratus decks capping peaks at 20-22°C, while partial clearing and insolation could boost to 25°C+. Daily CMA updates through April 6, tracking Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport observations, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$704结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 7, with implied odds centering on 23-24°C amid typical early-spring Sichuan Basin cloudiness and frontal moisture. Recent China Meteorological Administration reports show highs of 22-24°C over the past 48 hours under overcast skies and rain, a 2-4°C above-normal anomaly for the region driven by strengthening southerly flows. Global models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit a ±2-3°C spread, differentiated by cloud cover evolution—persistent stratus decks capping peaks at 20-22°C, while partial clearing and insolation could boost to 25°C+. Daily CMA updates through April 6, tracking Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport observations, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$704结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 7, with implied odds centering on 23-24°C amid typical early-spring Sichuan Basin cloudiness and frontal moisture. Recent China Meteorological Administration reports show highs of 22-24°C over the past 48 hours under overcast skies and rain, a 2-4°C above-normal anomaly for the region driven by strengthening southerly flows. Global models like GFS and ECMWF exhibit a ±2-3°C spread, differentiated by cloud cover evolution—persistent stratus decks capping peaks at 20-22°C, while partial clearing and insolation could boost to 25°C+. Daily CMA updates through April 6, tracking Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport observations, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题