Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 16–18°C (24%, 23%, and 21.5% implied probabilities, respectively) for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8, reflecting the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest short-term forecast ensemble showing highs near 17°C amid typical early spring variability. Current upper-air patterns feature a weakening trough over the Kanto region, promoting mild advection but capping peaks below 20°C, while surface observations indicate post-frontal stabilization after recent showers. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in ridging strength and cloud cover, with historical April 8 averages at 17–18°C providing baseline support. JMA's next advisory on April 5 could refine trajectories as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 8?
17°C 21%
18°C 21%
16°C 18%
19°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C
18%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
7%
17°C 21%
18°C 21%
16°C 18%
19°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
10°C or below
$195 交易量
1%
11°C
$250 交易量
1%
12°C
$250 交易量
1%
13°C
$293 交易量
1%
14°C
$10 交易量
8%
15°C
$10 交易量
8%
16°C
$61 交易量
18%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$10 交易量
21%
19°C
$10 交易量
15%
20°C or higher
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 16–18°C (24%, 23%, and 21.5% implied probabilities, respectively) for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8, reflecting the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest short-term forecast ensemble showing highs near 17°C amid typical early spring variability. Current upper-air patterns feature a weakening trough over the Kanto region, promoting mild advection but capping peaks below 20°C, while surface observations indicate post-frontal stabilization after recent showers. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in ridging strength and cloud cover, with historical April 8 averages at 17–18°C providing baseline support. JMA's next advisory on April 5 could refine trajectories as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$1,090结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 16–18°C (24%, 23%, and 21.5% implied probabilities, respectively) for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8, reflecting the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest short-term forecast ensemble showing highs near 17°C amid typical early spring variability. Current upper-air patterns feature a weakening trough over the Kanto region, promoting mild advection but capping peaks below 20°C, while surface observations indicate post-frontal stabilization after recent showers. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in ridging strength and cloud cover, with historical April 8 averages at 17–18°C providing baseline support. JMA's next advisory on April 5 could refine trajectories as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,090结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 16–18°C (24%, 23%, and 21.5% implied probabilities, respectively) for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8, reflecting the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest short-term forecast ensemble showing highs near 17°C amid typical early spring variability. Current upper-air patterns feature a weakening trough over the Kanto region, promoting mild advection but capping peaks below 20°C, while surface observations indicate post-frontal stabilization after recent showers. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in ridging strength and cloud cover, with historical April 8 averages at 17–18°C providing baseline support. JMA's next advisory on April 5 could refine trajectories as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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